La Liga 2025-2026: Getafe vs Betis Prediction - 8 Mar 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots

Getafe

Home Team
19%
VS

Betis

Away Team
65%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%
Expected Corners: 9.4
Expected Shots: 23.2

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 21 1 4 71 26 45 64
2 Real Madrid 26 19 3 4 54 22 32 60
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 43 23 20 51
4 Villarreal 26 16 3 7 48 31 17 51
5 Betis 26 11 10 5 42 32 10 43
6 Celta 26 10 10 6 36 28 8 40
7 Espanol 26 10 6 10 33 39 -6 36
8 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 38 38 0 35
9 Betis 26 10 5 11 30 36 -6 35
10 Osasuna 26 9 6 11 30 30 0 33
11 Getafe 26 9 5 12 21 29 -8 32
12 Vallecano 26 7 9 10 26 32 -6 30
13 Sevilla 26 8 6 12 34 41 -7 30
14 Girona 26 7 9 10 27 42 -15 30
15 Valencia 26 7 8 11 27 39 -12 29
16 Alaves 26 7 6 13 23 34 -11 27
17 Elche 26 5 11 10 34 39 -5 26
18 Mallorca 26 6 6 14 29 42 -13 24
19 Levante 26 5 6 15 28 44 -16 21
20 Oviedo 26 3 8 15 16 43 -27 17

Recent Trends

Getafe W L W W D

  • Last Match: W vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 0)

Betis D D W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.70
# Clean Sheets: 3

Betis

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Betis are clear favourites here, with a 65.0% probability of taking all three points away at Getafe, who are given just a 19.0% chance of a home win and a 16.0% chance of a draw. The model also leans towards a tight affair, with an under 2.5 goals prediction and only a 40.0% chance of the game going over that line, and even rates “no goal” (both teams not to score) at 51.0%. In the table, Betis are pushing high in fifth on 43 points, while Getafe sit 11th on 32 points, still looking over their shoulder at the bottom three.

Match Analysis

Getafe come into this on the back of two wins in three, including a statement 1-0 victory away at Real Madrid and a 2-1 home success over Villarreal, either side of a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Sevilla. Those scorelines sum them up well: hard to break down, rarely involved in shootouts, and happy to edge tight contests. Their last five games back that up, with just 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average, plus three clean sheets; the xG numbers (0.638 for, 0.704 against) suggest matches decided by small margins and limited chances. Betis, meanwhile, have drawn their last two at home – 2-2 against Sevilla and 1-1 with Vallecano – after a 2-1 away win at Mallorca. They’re creating more than they’re finishing: 1.2 goals scored per game over the last five, but an even healthier 1.672 expected goals, suggesting their attack is producing opportunities. Defensively, though, they’ve been loose, conceding 1.8 goals per game from 1.41 xG against and managing just one clean sheet in that spell. That contrast – Getafe’s caution versus Betis’ more open approach – frames the tactical battle.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Getafe
Goals in last 5 matches
Betis
Goals in last 5 matches
The model’s under 2.5 prediction, with only a 40.0% probability of over 2.5 goals, fits well with Getafe’s recent pattern. Two of Getafe’s last three matches finished under 2.5 goals (1-0 at Real Madrid, 0-1 vs Sevilla), with only the 2-1 win over Villarreal going over, and their five‑game averages (0.6 scored, 1.0 conceded; xG 0.638 for and 0.704 against) point to low‑scoring football. Betis have seen two of their last three go over 2.5 (2-2 vs Sevilla, 2-1 at Mallorca) and one under (1-1 vs Vallecano), but the expectation is that Getafe’s defensive structure and home caution will drag the tempo and scoreline down.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Getafe
Corners in last 5 matches
Betis
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The corners prediction sits at 9.45 total, which matches the recent figures from both sides. Getafe’s last three games produced 12, 4 and 7 corners respectively (averaging around 7.7), reflecting a team that doesn’t flood the box but still concedes territory, as seen in the 2-10 corner count at Real Madrid. Betis matches have been slightly busier from dead-ball situations, with 7, 8 and 10 corners (around 8.3 per game), consistent with a side that attacks more, shoots more and forces blocks. A combined figure just under double digits aligns with Betis’ front-foot play against Getafe’s low block.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Getafe
Shots in last 5 matches
Betis
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected shots total is 23.2, which looks reasonable given recent trends. Getafe’s last three have seen a combined 27, 12 and 13 shots, underlining how their games can swing from frantic to cagey, but on average sit in the low‑20s range. Betis have been more consistently active: 23, 26 and 31 total shots across their last three, in line with their stronger attacking xG of 1.672. This shots prediction suggests Betis will do most of the attacking, while Getafe look for efficiency rather than volume.

Final Prediction

Betis’ edge lies in their superior attacking output and league position, coupled with stronger chance creation numbers, even if they’ve been wasteful at times. Getafe’s organisation and three clean sheets in five ensure this won’t be easy, but over 90 minutes Betis’ higher ceiling in the final third should tell. The key factor to watch will be whether Getafe can blunt Betis’ attack early; if they can’t, the visitors’ sustained pressure and shot volume are likely to tilt the game their way.

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