La Liga 2025-2026: Getafe vs Celta Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
20%
VS

Celta

Away Team
63%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 21 17 1 3 57 22 35 52
2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45 17 28 51
3 Ath Madrid 21 13 5 3 38 17 21 44
4 Villarreal 20 13 2 5 37 21 16 41
5 Espanol 21 10 4 7 25 25 0 34
6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34 27 7 32
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 29 23 6 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29 29 0 27
9 Osasuna 21 7 4 10 24 25 -1 25
10 Girona 21 6 7 8 21 35 -14 25
11 Elche 21 5 9 7 29 29 0 24
12 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28 33 -5 24
13 Betis 21 7 3 11 20 30 -10 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22 33 -11 23
15 Alaves 21 6 4 11 18 26 -8 22
16 Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17 28 -11 22
17 Getafe 21 6 4 11 16 27 -11 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24 33 -9 21
19 Levante 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
20 Oviedo 21 2 7 12 11 34 -23 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.94
# Clean Sheets: 0

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Getafe and Celta, Celta is favored to secure a victory with a 63.0% probability of winning, compared to Getafe's 20.0% chance. The match is projected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with the likelihood of a low-scoring affair standing at 59.0%. Currently, Celta occupies the 7th position in the league table, while Getafe finds themselves in 17th place, precariously close to the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Getafe's recent performances have been underwhelming, marked by a winless streak in their last three matches, including a draw against Girona and losses to Valencia and Sociedad. Their attacking struggles are evident as they average only 0.4 goals per game over the past five outings, while defensively, they have been slightly better, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game. The lack of clean sheets in recent matches highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Celta has shown more promise in recent fixtures, securing two wins in their last three games, including a convincing 3-0 victory over Vallecano and a narrow 1-0 win against Sevilla. Their ability to keep clean sheets in three of their last five matches underscores a solid defensive setup. Offensively, Celta averages 1.0 goal per game, supported by a higher expected goals rate of 1.448, indicating they are creating quality chances.

Final Prediction

Celta's superior form and defensive solidity give them a significant edge over Getafe, whose struggles in both attack and defense have been apparent. A key factor to watch will be Celta's ability to capitalize on Getafe's defensive lapses, which could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the match.