La Liga 2025-2026: Levante vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Levante

Home Team
6%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
86%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 21 17 1 3 57 22 35 52
2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45 17 28 51
3 Ath Madrid 21 13 5 3 38 17 21 44
4 Villarreal 20 13 2 5 37 21 16 41
5 Espanol 21 10 4 7 25 25 0 34
6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34 27 7 32
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 29 23 6 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29 29 0 27
9 Osasuna 21 7 4 10 24 25 -1 25
10 Girona 21 6 7 8 21 35 -14 25
11 Elche 21 5 9 7 29 29 0 24
12 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28 33 -5 24
13 Betis 21 7 3 11 20 30 -10 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22 33 -11 23
15 Alaves 21 6 4 11 18 26 -8 22
16 Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17 28 -11 22
17 Getafe 21 6 4 11 16 27 -11 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24 33 -9 21
19 Levante 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
20 Oviedo 21 2 7 12 11 34 -23 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Levante

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Levante and Ath Madrid is predicted to heavily favor the visitors, with an 86.0% probability of Ath Madrid securing the win. In contrast, Levante's chances of victory stand at a mere 6.0%. The game is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% probability for this outcome. Currently, Ath Madrid sits comfortably in 3rd place with 44 points, while Levante is struggling at 19th place with only 17 points in the La Liga standings.

Match Analysis

Levante's recent performances reflect a mixed bag of results. They managed to secure a home victory against Elche, scoring 3 goals, but fell to Real Madrid without scoring and settled for a home draw against Espanol. On average, Levante has been scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Their expected goals metrics are slightly higher, suggesting they might have been slightly unlucky not to score more. On the other hand, Ath Madrid's form appears more consistent. They have won against Mallorca and Alaves, keeping clean sheets in both games, and drew away to Sociedad. With an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded in their last five outings, Ath Madrid's defense has been notably robust, achieving three clean sheets. Their expected goals and defense metrics underscore their disciplined play, which could be key in their upcoming fixture.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's strong defensive record, combined with Levante's struggle to maintain consistency, gives the visitors a significant edge in this matchup. The ability of Ath Madrid to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be whether Levante can break through Ath Madrid's tight defense, which has been their hallmark in recent games.