La Liga 2025-2026: Levante vs Getafe Prediction - 13 Apr 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots

Levante

Home Team
47%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
28%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%
Expected Corners: 9.7
Expected Shots: 25.8

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 25 1 4 80 29 51 76
2 Real Madrid 30 22 3 5 64 28 36 69
3 Villarreal 30 18 4 8 54 35 19 58
4 Ath Madrid 30 17 6 7 50 30 20 57
5 Betis 30 11 12 7 44 37 7 45
6 Celta 30 11 11 8 44 37 7 44
7 Sociedad 30 11 8 11 46 45 1 41
8 Getafe 30 12 5 13 27 31 -4 41
9 Osasuna 30 10 8 12 36 37 -1 38
10 Espanol 30 10 8 12 36 44 -8 38
11 Betis 30 11 5 14 32 43 -11 38
12 Girona 30 9 10 11 32 44 -12 37
13 Vallecano 30 8 11 11 29 35 -6 35
14 Valencia 30 9 8 13 34 45 -11 35
15 Alaves 30 8 8 14 32 43 -11 32
16 Mallorca 30 8 7 15 36 48 -12 31
17 Sevilla 30 8 7 15 37 50 -13 31
18 Elche 30 6 11 13 38 47 -9 29
19 Levante 30 6 8 16 34 50 -16 26
20 Oviedo 30 5 9 16 21 48 -27 24

Recent Trends

Levante L W D D W

  • Last Match: L vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Oviedo (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)

Getafe W W L W W

  • Last Match: W vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Levante

xG (avg) 1.75
xGA (avg) 1.54
Clean Sheets 1

Getafe

xG (avg) 1.40
xGA (avg) 1.94
Clean Sheets 3

Key Prediction Insights

Levante are slight favourites at home with a 47.0% win probability, ahead of Getafe’s 28.0% chance and a 25.0% likelihood of a draw. The model points to a Levante victory in a tight game between 19th-placed Levante (26 points) and 8th-placed Getafe (41 points). The goal line leans towards an under 2.5 outcome (42.0% probability of over 2.5, so the prediction is under_2_5), suggesting a low-scoring contest despite both sides usually creating chances.

Match Analysis

Levante come into this with mixed recent form but signs of life in attack. A 4-2 home win over fellow strugglers Oviedo showcased their ability to open up weaker defences, while a 1-1 draw at Vallecano underlined their willingness to trade blows away from home, with 19 shots generated. The setback was a 2-0 defeat at Sociedad, where they were clearly second best. Over the last five games they’ve averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with an encouraging 1.75 xG in attack and 1.54 xG against – numbers that suggest they are creating slightly more than they’re finishing and not as porous as their league position implies. Getafe arrive in Valencia with momentum and defensive solidity. Two wins from their last three – 2-0 at home to Athletic Bilbao and 2-1 away at Espanyol – have kept them firmly in the top-half mix, offsetting a narrow 1-0 defeat at Atlético Madrid. Across their last five, they’ve averaged 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, backed by three clean sheets. Interestingly, their defensive xG against is 1.94, much higher than the 0.6 goals actually conceded, indicating they’ve been relying on strong last-ditch defending and perhaps some good fortune in front of their own goal.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Levante
Goals in last 5 matches
Getafe
Goals in last 5 matches
The call here is under 2.5 with the model tilting away from a high-scoring game, despite a 42.0% chance on the over 2.5 prediction. Levante’s last three outings have produced two matches under 2.5 goals (0-2 vs Sociedad, 1-1 at Vallecano) and one over (4-2 vs Oviedo), while Getafe also have two under 2.5 (2-0 vs Athletic, 0-1 at Atlético) and one over (2-1 at Espanyol). With Levante averaging 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded and Getafe at 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded – plus reasonably modest xG figures – the data supports a tight, tactical game with one or two goals likely deciding it.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Levante
Corners in last 5 matches
Getafe
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The corners prediction points to around 9.7 total corners, a mid-range figure that fits both sides’ recent patterns. Levante’s last three matches have seen corner counts of 5-11, 3-1 and 6-5, while Getafe’s have gone 4-3, 9-12 and 3-10 – plenty of variation but generally consistent with a game in the 9–11 range. Both teams can push high in spells, but they are not relentless wide-crossing machines, so the predicted corners total suggests balanced spells of pressure rather than end-to-end siege football.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Levante
Shots in last 5 matches
Getafe
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected shots figure of 25.78 hints at a game with a fair amount of goalmouth activity but not a complete shoot-out. Levante’s last three have produced 8, 20 and 19 efforts of their own, while allowing 18, 10 and 18, showing their matches often drift into the mid-20s or higher for combined attempts. Getafe’s games have been slightly more controlled – shots tallies of 10, 10 and 7 for, against 5, 15 and 16 – which aligns with their cautious approach and explains why the shots prediction lands just below 26 rather than in the 30s, tying in neatly with their moderate xG numbers.

Final Prediction

Levante get the edge mainly through home advantage and a slightly stronger underlying attacking profile, with 1.75 xG per game recently suggesting they can ask more questions of Getafe’s back line than the raw league table implies. Getafe’s resilience and recent clean sheets mean this should still be a tight contest decided in both boxes. A key factor to watch will be whether Levante’s pressure can finally expose the gap between Getafe’s high xG conceded and their currently miserly goals-against record.

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