La Liga 2025-2026: Levante vs Vallecano Prediction - 19 Oct 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Levante
Home Team
33%
VS
Vallecano
Away Team
43%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Espanol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 19 | Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Levante
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Levante
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.91
# Clean Sheets:
2
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.92
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Levante and Vallecano is predicted to be a tight contest, with Vallecano having a slight edge with a 43.0% probability of securing a win. Levante, meanwhile, has a 33.0% chance of triumphing on home turf, while the probability of a draw stands at 24.0%. Both teams are currently neck and neck in the La Liga standings, occupying the 13th and 14th positions respectively, each with 8 points. The match is expected to be an engaging encounter with a high chance of over 2.5 goals, predicted at 53.0%.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Levante has experienced a mixed bag of results, showcasing a win against Oviedo and a draw with Getafe, but suffering a heavy defeat at the hands of Real Madrid. They have demonstrated resilience with a clean sheet in two of their last five matches, but their average of 3.0 goals conceded per game suggests vulnerabilities in defense. Vallecano, on the other hand, comes into this fixture after a victory over Sociedad, but with losses against Sevilla and Ath Madrid. They have managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five outings and concede an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Advanced metrics reveal that Levante's attacking potential is notable, with an average of 1.67 goals scored per match in their last five games, and a slightly higher expected goals rate of 1.80. Vallecano, meanwhile, averages 1.2 goals per game, aligning closely with their expected goals of 1.40. Defensively, Levante's higher average of goals conceded compared to Vallecano may play a crucial role in the match outcome.
Final Prediction
Vallecano's slight advantage in predicted outcomes can be attributed to their relatively tighter defense and recent win against Sociedad, which could provide a morale boost. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be Levante's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, as this could tip the balance in their favor. With both teams eager to climb the league table, fans can anticipate an exciting and potentially high-scoring match.
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