La Liga 2025-2026: Mallorca vs Sevilla Prediction - 2 Feb 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Mallorca

Home Team
46%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
28%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 21 17 1 3 57 22 35 52
2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45 17 28 51
3 Ath Madrid 21 13 5 3 38 17 21 44
4 Villarreal 20 13 2 5 37 21 16 41
5 Espanol 21 10 4 7 25 25 0 34
6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34 27 7 32
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 29 23 6 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29 29 0 27
9 Osasuna 21 7 4 10 24 25 -1 25
10 Girona 21 6 7 8 21 35 -14 25
11 Elche 21 5 9 7 29 29 0 24
12 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28 33 -5 24
13 Betis 21 7 3 11 20 30 -10 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22 33 -11 23
15 Alaves 21 6 4 11 18 26 -8 22
16 Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17 28 -11 22
17 Getafe 21 6 4 11 16 27 -11 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24 33 -9 21
19 Levante 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
20 Oviedo 21 2 7 12 11 34 -23 13

Recent Trends

Mallorca L W L L D

  • Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)

Sevilla W D L L L

  • Last Match: W vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

xG (avg) 1.92
xGA (avg) 1.14
Clean Sheets 0

Sevilla

xG (avg) 1.37
xGA (avg) 2.18
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

As Mallorca prepares to host Sevilla, they stand as the predicted winners with a 46.0% probability of securing a victory against their opponents, who carry a 28.0% chance of winning. The game is anticipated to be lively, with a 54.0% probability of having over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, Mallorca is struggling in 18th place, while Sevilla sits slightly higher at 12th in La Liga standings.

Match Analysis

Mallorca's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable home win against Athletic Bilbao (3-2) sandwiched between two away losses to Atletico Madrid (0-3) and Vallecano (1-2). Despite these setbacks, Mallorca's attacking prowess has shown promise, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, with no clean sheets in sight. Sevilla, on the other hand, has experienced fluctuating form, securing a home victory over Athletic Bilbao (2-1), drawing against Elche (2-2) on the road, and succumbing to a narrow home defeat to Celta (0-1). Their recent goal-scoring average is modest at 0.8 goals per game, with a concerning average of 2.0 goals conceded per match. The advanced metrics reveal a struggle in defense, with an expected goals conceded rate of 2.176, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Mallorca's edge in this matchup stems from their superior recent goal-scoring form and the home advantage. Sevilla's defensive frailties could provide Mallorca with the opportunities needed to capitalize and move away from the relegation zone. A key factor to watch will be Mallorca's ability to maintain their scoring momentum while shoring up their defense against a Sevilla side eager to stabilize their position in the league.

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