La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Oviedo Prediction - 17 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Osasuna

Home Team
76%
VS

Oviedo

Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 18 13 2 3 37 17 20 41
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 19 10 4 5 23 20 3 34
6 Betis 19 7 8 4 31 25 6 29
7 Celta 19 7 8 4 25 20 5 29
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 19 5 8 6 25 24 1 23
10 Vallecano 19 5 7 7 16 22 -6 22
11 Sociedad 19 5 6 8 24 27 -3 21
12 Getafe 19 6 3 10 15 25 -10 21
13 Girona 19 5 6 8 18 34 -16 21
14 Sevilla 19 6 2 11 24 30 -6 20
15 Osasuna 19 5 4 10 18 22 -4 19
16 Alaves 19 5 4 10 16 24 -8 19
17 Mallorca 19 4 6 9 21 28 -7 18
18 Valencia 19 3 8 8 18 31 -13 17
19 Levante 18 3 5 10 21 30 -9 14
20 Oviedo 19 2 7 10 9 28 -19 13

Recent Trends

Osasuna L D W L W

  • Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)

Oviedo D D D L D

  • Last Match: D vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

xG (avg) 1.72
xGA (avg) 1.22
Clean Sheets 2

Oviedo

xG (avg) 1.39
xGA (avg) 2.24
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Oviedo appears to heavily favor the home side, Osasuna, with a commanding 76.0% probability of victory. On the flip side, Oviedo has only an 11.0% chance of pulling off an upset. This matchup is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability. Currently, Osasuna sits in 15th place in La Liga, while Oviedo struggles at the bottom, holding the 20th spot.

Match Analysis

Osasuna enters this match with mixed recent performances, having secured a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three outings. They managed to beat Alaves 3-0 at home, which suggests they are capable of strong performances on their own turf. However, a draw at home against Athletic Bilbao and a narrow loss away to Girona indicates some inconsistency. Their advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with two clean sheets in their last five matches, suggesting a fairly balanced side. On the other hand, Oviedo is experiencing a challenging period, with three consecutive draws in their last games. They managed to hold Betis and Alaves to 1-1 draws and kept a clean sheet against Celta in a goalless affair. Despite their resilience, Oviedo struggles in front of goal, averaging 0.8 goals scored while conceding 2.2 on average over their last five games. Their expected goals metrics further emphasize their defensive vulnerabilities, which could be exploited by Osasuna.

Final Prediction

Osasuna holds a significant advantage in this matchup, primarily due to their stronger recent home performances and Oviedo's ongoing scoring woes. The key factor that could tilt the game decisively in Osasuna's favor is their ability to capitalize on Oviedo's defensive frailties. Keep an eye on how Osasuna's offense maneuvers against Oviedo's backline, as this could determine the outcome of the match.

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