La Liga 2025-2026: Oviedo vs Girona Prediction

Oviedo

Home Team
29%
VS

Girona

Away Team
48%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 21 17 1 3 57 22 35 52
2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45 17 28 51
3 Ath Madrid 21 13 5 3 38 17 21 44
4 Villarreal 20 13 2 5 37 21 16 41
5 Espanol 21 10 4 7 25 25 0 34
6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34 27 7 32
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 29 23 6 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29 29 0 27
9 Osasuna 21 7 4 10 24 25 -1 25
10 Girona 21 6 7 8 21 35 -14 25
11 Elche 21 5 9 7 29 29 0 24
12 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28 33 -5 24
13 Betis 21 7 3 11 20 30 -10 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22 33 -11 23
15 Alaves 21 6 4 11 18 26 -8 22
16 Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17 28 -11 22
17 Getafe 21 6 4 11 16 27 -11 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24 33 -9 21
19 Levante 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
20 Oviedo 21 2 7 12 11 34 -23 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 1

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Oviedo and Girona is predicted to favor the away team, Girona, with a 48% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Oviedo holds a 29% chance of winning, and a draw is the least likely outcome at 23%. The match is also expected to stay under 2.5 goals, with a 46% probability, suggesting a low-scoring affair. In the La Liga standings, Girona sits in 10th place, while Oviedo is struggling at the bottom of the table in 20th position.

Match Analysis

Oviedo's recent form has been less than stellar, with a draw and two losses in their last three matches. Their most recent performance saw them secure a point against Betis at home, but prior to that, they suffered consecutive away defeats to Barcelona and Osasuna. The team has struggled offensively, managing to score only 0.2 goals per game on average in their last five fixtures, while defensively, they have conceded the same average. Despite maintaining one clean sheet in this period, Oviedo's inability to find the back of the net consistently has been a significant hindrance. In contrast, Girona has shown more promise, coming into this match with two wins and a draw from their last three games. Their recent victories over Espanyol and Osasuna demonstrate their ability to secure points both home and away. Girona averages 1.4 goals scored per match in their last five games, a notable improvement over Oviedo's output. Defensively, they have conceded 1.2 goals per match on average, and have secured two clean sheets, showcasing a more balanced form. Girona's advanced metrics indicate a solid attack with an average expected goals of 1.344, which could prove decisive against Oviedo's leaky defense.

Final Prediction

Girona's superior form and statistical edge in recent performances give them a distinct advantage over Oviedo. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity, coupled with Oviedo's struggles at both ends of the pitch, suggests Girona is well-positioned to capitalize on this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Girona's offensive approach, which could exploit Oviedo's defensive vulnerabilities.