La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Mallorca Prediction - 18 Oct 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Sevilla

Home Team
74%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 19 9 10 21
2 Barcelona 8 6 1 1 22 9 13 19
3 Villarreal 8 5 1 2 14 8 6 16
4 Betis 8 4 3 1 13 8 5 15
5 Ath Madrid 8 3 4 1 15 10 5 13
6 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 15 11 4 13
7 Elche 8 3 4 1 11 9 2 13
8 Betis 8 4 1 3 9 9 0 13
9 Espanol 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
10 Alaves 8 3 2 3 9 8 1 11
11 Getafe 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
12 Osasuna 8 3 1 4 7 8 -1 10
13 Levante 8 2 2 4 13 14 -1 8
14 Vallecano 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
15 Valencia 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
16 Celta 8 0 6 2 7 10 -3 6
17 Oviedo 8 2 0 6 4 14 -10 6
18 Girona 8 1 3 4 5 17 -12 6
19 Sociedad 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
20 Mallorca 8 1 2 5 7 13 -6 5

Recent Trends

Sevilla W W L W D

  • Last Match: W vs Barcelona (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)

Mallorca L W L D L

  • Last Match: L vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

xG (avg) 1.23
xGA (avg) 1.75
Clean Sheets 1

Mallorca

xG (avg) 0.86
xGA (avg) 2.27
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Mallorca is heavily tilted in favor of Sevilla, with a 74.0% probability of the home team clinching victory. Mallorca, on the other hand, has a mere 12.0% chance of securing an upset. Both teams are predicted to score, yet the likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals is only 48.0%, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Currently, Sevilla sits in 6th place in La Liga, while Mallorca languishes at the bottom in 20th.

Match Analysis

Sevilla has shown mixed form over their last three games, achieving two wins and one loss. Their notable victory against Barcelona, where they dominated with a 4-1 scoreline, stands out as a testament to their attacking prowess. However, their recent home defeat to Villarreal highlights potential vulnerabilities. Sevilla's advanced metrics indicate an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches, with an expected goal rate of 1.2275, showing a slight overperformance in front of the goal. Conversely, Mallorca's recent performances paint a more challenging picture. With two losses in their last three outings, including a narrow defeat to Sociedad, they are struggling for form. Their sole victory came against Alaves, but the team has consistently faced difficulties in both scoring and defense. Mallorca's average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game over the last five matches underscores their struggles, with their expected goals further indicating they are underperforming in attack.

Final Prediction

Sevilla's recent attacking form and their superior league position give them a clear edge over Mallorca. Their ability to score goals against stronger opponents, as evidenced by their win against Barcelona, will be crucial. Fans should keep an eye on Sevilla's attacking players, who could be the difference-makers in this fixture.

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel