La Liga 2025-2026: Valencia vs Espanol Prediction

Valencia

Home Team
45%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
28%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 20 16 1 3 54 22 32 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 43 17 26 48
3 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 37 19 18 41
4 Ath Madrid 20 12 5 3 35 17 18 41
5 Espanol 20 10 4 6 23 22 1 34
6 Betis 20 8 8 4 33 25 8 32
7 Celta 20 8 8 4 28 20 8 32
8 Elche 20 5 9 6 27 26 1 24
9 Sociedad 20 6 6 8 26 28 -2 24
10 Betis 20 7 3 10 19 28 -9 24
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 20 34 -14 24
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 21 24 -3 22
13 Vallecano 20 5 7 8 16 25 -9 22
14 Sevilla 20 6 3 11 26 32 -6 21
15 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 24 30 -6 21
16 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15 26 -11 21
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 19 31 -12 20
18 Alaves 20 5 4 11 16 25 -9 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 21 32 -11 14
20 Oviedo 20 2 7 11 11 31 -20 13

Recent Trends

Valencia ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)

Espanol ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.67
# Clean Sheets: 1

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.21
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Valencia and Espanyol is predicted to favor the home team, Valencia, with a 45.0% probability of winning. Although both teams are quite close in the standings, Valencia sits in a precarious 17th position, while Espanyol enjoys a more comfortable 5th spot. The game is expected to see fewer goals, with a 45.0% probability of under 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Valencia comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They managed a crucial away win against Getafe, which was a much-needed boost for a team fighting to stay out of the relegation zone. However, their defense showed vulnerability in a 4-1 loss to Celta, and a draw against Elche at home highlighted their struggle to capitalize on home advantage. Valencia's recent form suggests inconsistency, but their average expected goals scored of 1.808 in the last five games indicates they are capable of creating opportunities. Espanyol, on the other hand, has also had a tough run of games, losing to both Girona and Barcelona without scoring. A draw against Levante on the road was a minor relief, but their inability to score in key matches is concerning. Despite their 5th place in the standings, Espanyol's expected goals scored average of 0.978 over the last five games suggests they aren't as threatening in attack as their league position might imply. Their defensive solidity, however, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded, could be a point of strength.

Final Prediction

Valencia's edge in this matchup may come from their ability to generate more scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher expected goals metric. While both teams have shown defensive resilience, Valencia's home advantage and recent away win could provide them with the necessary confidence. A key factor to watch will be whether Valencia can tighten their defense to prevent Espanyol from exploiting any weaknesses.