La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Espanol Prediction - 9 Feb 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Villarreal

Home Team
68%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
15%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 22 18 1 3 60 23 37 55
2 Real Madrid 22 17 3 2 47 18 29 54
3 Ath Madrid 22 13 6 3 38 17 21 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 39 23 16 42
5 Betis 22 9 8 5 36 28 8 35
6 Espanol 22 10 4 8 26 27 -1 34
7 Celta 22 8 9 5 29 23 6 33
8 Sociedad 22 7 7 8 30 30 0 28
9 Osasuna 22 7 5 10 26 27 -1 26
10 Alaves 22 7 4 11 20 27 -7 25
11 Betis 22 7 4 11 21 31 -10 25
12 Girona 22 6 7 9 21 36 -15 25
13 Elche 22 5 9 8 30 32 -2 24
14 Mallorca 22 6 6 10 28 34 -6 24
15 Sevilla 22 7 3 12 29 37 -8 24
16 Valencia 22 5 8 9 23 35 -12 23
17 Getafe 22 6 5 11 16 27 -11 23
18 Vallecano 22 5 7 10 18 30 -12 22
19 Levante 21 4 6 11 24 34 -10 18
20 Oviedo 22 3 7 12 12 34 -22 16

Recent Trends

Villarreal D L L W W

  • Last Match: D vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)

Espanol L L L D L

  • Last Match: L vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

xG (avg) 1.59
xGA (avg) 1.48
Clean Sheets 0

Espanol

xG (avg) 1.12
xGA (avg) 1.32
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Villarreal are favored to take all three points at home, with a 68.0% probability of victory against Espanol’s 15.0% chance and a 17.0% likelihood of a draw. Sitting 4th with 42 points, Villarreal are battling to cement a Champions League spot, while 6th‑placed Espanol (34 points) are pushing to break into the top five. The game leans towards being open, with a 54.0% probability of over 2.5 goals and both teams expected to score.

Match Analysis

Both sides come into this one on winless runs, but with slightly different dynamics. Villarreal have drawn once and lost twice in their last three matches, taking only a point from trips to Osasuna (2–2) and Betis (0–2) plus a 0–2 home defeat to Real Madrid. They’ve averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five games, backed by solid underlying numbers (1.59 expected goals for and 1.48 against), suggesting they are still creating and conceding chances in roughly equal measure despite recent setbacks. Espanol’s form is more worrying in terms of results: three straight defeats (1–2 vs Alaves at home, 2–3 at Valencia, 0–2 vs Girona). Yet their last five‑game averages show some balance: 1.4 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per match, with 1.122 expected goals for and 1.324 against. Like Villarreal, they’ve registered no clean sheets in that span, pointing toward defensive vulnerabilities on both sides that fit the over‑2.5‑goals prediction.

Final Prediction

Villarreal’s higher league position, stronger attacking metrics, and home advantage collectively explain why they are clear favorites. Espanol’s recent losing streak and slightly weaker underlying numbers tilt the game further towards the hosts. A key factor to watch will be how Espanol’s defense copes with Villarreal’s steady chance creation, in a match where both back lines have shown they can be breached.

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