Ligue 1 2025-2026: Brest vs Nantes Prediction - 4 Oct 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Brest

Home Team
79%
VS

Nantes

Away Team
10%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 12 4 8 15
2 Lyon 6 5 0 1 8 3 5 15
3 Marseille 6 4 0 2 12 5 7 12
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 14 10 4 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 9 7 2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 13 9 4 10
7 Lens 6 3 1 2 8 5 3 10
8 Rennes 6 2 3 1 7 8 -1 9
9 Brest 6 2 1 3 11 11 0 7
10 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
11 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
13 Lorient 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 4 8 -4 6
15 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
18 Metz 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Recent Trends

Brest W W L L L

  • Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Nice (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 2)

Nantes D D L W L

  • Last Match: D vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Nice (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brest

xG (avg) 2.06
xGA (avg) 1.98
Clean Sheets 1

Nantes

xG (avg) 1.01
xGA (avg) 2.05
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brest and Nantes sees Brest as the strong favorites with a 79% probability of winning. With the expectation of over 2.5 goals at 53%, fans can anticipate an exciting encounter. Brest currently sits in 9th position in the Ligue 1 standings, while Nantes is struggling at 16th, close to the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Brest comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They secured an impressive 4-1 victory at home against Nice and also triumphed away to Angers with a 2-0 scoreline. However, they suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Paris FC. Their recent performances show a propensity for finding the back of the net, averaging 2.67 goals per game in their last five matches. Despite this attacking prowess, they have also conceded an average of 2.0 goals, highlighting potential defensive vulnerabilities. Nantes, on the other hand, is in a tougher situation. They have not won their last three matches, drawing twice against Toulouse and Rennes, both ending 2-2, and losing narrowly 1-0 to Nice. Their scoring has been less potent, averaging only 0.67 goals per game over the last five. With an average of 1.33 goals conceded, their defense has been slightly more resilient than their attack, yet it remains a concern as they face a goal-hungry Brest side.

Final Prediction

Brest holds a distinct advantage in this matchup, primarily due to their superior goal-scoring form and home advantage. The key factor to watch will be Brest's offensive capabilities against a Nantes side that has struggled to find consistent form. If Brest can maintain their attacking momentum, they are likely to come out on top, further solidifying their mid-table position.

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