Ligue 1 2025-2026: Nice vs Brest Prediction
Nice
Home Team
40%
VS
Brest
Away Team
34%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
| 2 | Lens | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 43 |
| 3 | Marseille | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Lyon | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Lille | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 9 | Lorient | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 | Monaco | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Brest | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Nice | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 21 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Nantes | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Nice
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
Brest
- Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.88
# Clean Sheets:
0
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nice and Brest is predicted to end in favor of the home side, with a 40% probability of a Nice victory. Despite the tight competition, Nice edges out Brest, who have a 34% chance of winning. The game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the 49% probability of such an outcome. In Ligue 1 standings, Nice sits at 13th place with 21 points, while Brest is slightly above them at 12th, holding 22 points.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Nice has displayed mixed results. They secured an impressive 4-1 victory against Nantes away from home, suggesting their offensive capability. However, this was followed by a heavy 5-1 defeat at the hands of Toulouse, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. A subsequent 1-1 home draw with Strasbourg indicates inconsistency in their performances. Advanced metrics show Nice has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals over the last five games, with no clean sheets recorded, despite generating a promising 1.606 expected goals per game.
Conversely, Brest's recent form has been equally erratic. They suffered back-to-back losses against Toulouse and Lyon, scoring only once across both matches. Yet, they managed a solid 2-0 victory over Auxerre, showcasing potential in defense with a clean sheet. Brest's offensive struggles are reflected in their average of 0.8 goals scored per game, while defensively, they concede 2.0 goals on average, suggesting vulnerabilities that Nice might exploit.
Final Prediction
Nice's slight edge in this matchup is primarily due to their higher probability of winning, coupled with Brest's ongoing struggles in both attack and defense. A key factor to watch will be Nice's ability to capitalize on Brest's defensive lapses, which could prove decisive in securing the home victory. With both teams looking to improve their league standing, fans can expect a fiercely contested battle on the field.