Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Le Havre Prediction - 18 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Rennes

Home Team
74%
VS

Le Havre

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 17 13 1 3 31 13 18 40
2 Paris SG 17 12 3 2 37 15 22 39
3 Marseille 17 10 2 5 36 17 19 32
4 Lille 17 10 2 5 33 22 11 32
5 Lyon 17 9 3 5 25 17 8 30
6 Rennes 17 8 6 3 29 24 5 30
7 Strasbourg 17 7 3 7 26 21 5 24
8 Toulouse 17 6 5 6 24 22 2 23
9 Monaco 17 7 2 8 27 30 -3 23
10 Angers 17 6 4 7 18 20 -2 22
11 Brest 17 6 4 7 23 27 -4 22
12 Lorient 17 4 7 6 20 29 -9 19
13 Le Havre 17 4 6 7 15 23 -8 18
14 Nice 17 5 3 9 20 30 -10 18
15 Paris FC 17 4 4 9 22 31 -9 16
16 Nantes 17 3 5 9 16 28 -12 14
17 Auxerre 17 3 3 11 14 27 -13 12
18 Metz 17 3 3 11 18 38 -20 12

Recent Trends

Rennes W W L W W

  • Last Match: W vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)

Le Havre W L D L L

  • Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Rennes

xG (avg) 2.24
xGA (avg) 1.43
Clean Sheets 2

Le Havre

xG (avg) 1.13
xGA (avg) 2.58
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Rennes is anticipated to secure a victory against Le Havre with a strong probability of 74.0%. The game is expected to feature less than 2.5 goals, given the 48.0% probability. Currently, Rennes is positioned 6th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Le Havre finds itself in 13th place, struggling to climb up the ranks.

Match Analysis

Rennes has been in a relatively stable form over their last three matches. They secured a solid 2-0 victory away against Lille and a convincing 3-1 win at home against Brest. However, they faced a heavy defeat against Paris SG, losing 5-0. Despite this setback, Rennes has shown resilience, particularly in their ability to score, with an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Their defense has also been commendable, with two clean sheets in the same period, reflecting their capability to maintain a sturdy backline. On the other hand, Le Havre's recent performances have been less encouraging. They managed a narrow 2-1 win at home against Angers but faced a defeat against Lyon and a goalless draw with Paris FC. Le Havre's attacking prowess seems limited, with an average of only 0.6 goals per game in recent matches. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game, which could be a critical weakness against a potent Rennes attack.

Final Prediction

Rennes holds a significant edge in this matchup due to their superior form and attacking capabilities. The combination of a strong goal-scoring record and a relatively secure defense gives Rennes a comprehensive advantage over Le Havre. A key factor to watch will be whether Rennes can capitalize on Le Havre's defensive vulnerabilities and maintain their scoring momentum to secure a vital win.

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