Ligue 1 2025-2026: Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction - 29 Oct 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Strasbourg

Home Team
76%
VS

Auxerre

Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 9 6 2 1 19 8 11 20
2 Lens 9 6 1 2 14 8 6 19
3 Marseille 9 6 0 3 22 9 13 18
4 Lyon 9 6 0 3 13 9 4 18
5 Lille 9 5 2 2 22 11 11 17
6 Monaco 9 5 2 2 18 13 5 17
7 Strasbourg 9 5 1 3 18 12 6 16
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 14 15 -1 14
9 Toulouse 9 4 1 4 15 13 2 13
10 Rennes 9 2 5 2 12 14 -2 11
11 Paris FC 9 3 1 5 14 17 -3 10
12 Brest 9 2 3 4 14 17 -3 9
13 Nantes 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
14 Le Havre 9 2 3 4 11 16 -5 9
15 Angers 9 2 3 4 6 12 -6 9
16 Lorient 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
17 Auxerre 9 2 1 6 7 13 -6 7
18 Metz 9 0 2 7 6 26 -20 2

Recent Trends

Strasbourg L D W L W

  • Last Match: L vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Paris SG (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 2)

Auxerre L D L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Strasbourg

xG (avg) 2.16
xGA (avg) 0.81
Clean Sheets 1

Auxerre

xG (avg) 1.44
xGA (avg) 1.78
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Auxerre, Strasbourg is heavily favored with a 76.0% probability of victory. The match is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, given the 55.0% likelihood. Currently, Strasbourg sits comfortably in 7th position after 9 games, while Auxerre struggles at 17th, teetering on the edge of relegation.

Match Analysis

Strasbourg comes into this match with a mixed bag of results but has shown resilience, particularly in their recent 3-3 draw against league leaders Paris SG. Their ability to score is underscored by their 5-0 thrashing of Angers at home. Despite a narrow loss to Lyon, Strasbourg’s offense is potent, averaging 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches, and they have managed one clean sheet in that span. Auxerre, on the other hand, is battling inconsistency. They have notched only one point from their last three games, drawing against Rennes and losing to both Le Havre and Lens. Their offensive struggles are evident, with just 0.75 goals scored per game recently. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. This defensive fragility could be a significant factor against Strasbourg's attacking prowess.

Final Prediction

Strasbourg’s superior form and home advantage give them the edge over Auxerre, who are languishing near the bottom of the table. The key factor to watch will be Strasbourg’s ability to capitalize on Auxerre’s defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Strasbourg's offensive metrics and recent performances suggest they have the firepower to secure a victory in this encounter.

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