Premier League 2025-2026: Arsenal vs Man United Prediction

Arsenal

Home Team
75%
VS

Man United

Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 22 7 9 6 32 29 3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 2 27
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8

Recent Trends

Arsenal ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 1)

Man United ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.04
# Clean Sheets: 2

Man United

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.68
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Arsenal and Manchester United sees Arsenal as the favorite, boasting a 75.0% probability of securing a victory. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with Arsenal's consistent form making them the likely winners. Currently, Arsenal sits comfortably at the top of the Premier League, while Manchester United is in 5th place, looking to climb further into Champions League qualification.

Match Analysis

Arsenal's recent performances have been solid, with a win and two draws in their last three outings. Their defense has been particularly impressive, achieving two clean sheets, notably against Liverpool and Nott'm Forest. Arsenal's average goals scored in the last five games stand at 2.0, while they have only conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match. Their expected goals metrics further highlight their attacking prowess, averaging 2.38 expected goals per game. On the other hand, Manchester United has had a mixed set of results, with one win and two draws in recent matches. They secured a significant victory over Manchester City, showcasing their potential to compete with the top teams. United has scored an average of 2.0 goals in their last five games but has shown some vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Their expected goals conceded metric, however, suggests they have been somewhat unfortunate, averaging only 0.684 expected goals against.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's edge in this match stems from their robust defense and consistent goal-scoring ability, which has kept them at the top of the league. Manchester United will need to tighten their defense to counter Arsenal's attacking threat. One key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to maintain their defensive form against United's potent attack, which could ultimately decide the outcome of the game.