Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction - 9 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Aston Villa

Home Team
62%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
18%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 18 3 15 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 12 19
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 4 18
4 Sunderland 10 5 3 2 12 8 4 18
5 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 3 18
6 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 17 8 9 17
7 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 18 11 7 17
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 17 16 1 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 5 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 2 15
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
14 Everton 10 3 3 4 10 13 -3 12
15 Fulham 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 19 -7 10
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2

Recent Trends

Aston Villa L W W W W

  • Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 1)

Bournemouth L W D W D

  • Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Aston Villa

xG (avg) 1.10
xGA (avg) 1.36
Clean Sheets 1

Bournemouth

xG (avg) 1.54
xGA (avg) 2.32
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Aston Villa is poised to take victory in their upcoming clash against Bournemouth, with a 62.0% probability of a home win. The probability of the match ending with under 2.5 goals is 52.0%, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. Currently, Aston Villa sits at 11th place in the Premier League, while Bournemouth is in a stronger position at 5th, both with 10 matches played.

Match Analysis

Aston Villa has shown mixed form in their last three matches, securing a significant home win against Manchester City and an impressive away victory over Tottenham. However, a loss to Liverpool suggests inconsistency. Aston Villa's defensive solidity is highlighted by their recent clean sheet against City, yet their offensive output remains modest, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Bournemouth, meanwhile, has had a similarly varied run. They achieved a commendable victory over Nottingham Forest and earned an exciting draw against Crystal Palace in a high-scoring encounter. Their loss to Manchester City, however, exposed defensive vulnerabilities, as seen in their average of 2.4 goals conceded per match over the last five games. Bournemouth's attack looks more promising, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match recently, which could trouble Aston Villa's defense.

Final Prediction

Aston Villa's edge in this fixture lies in their home advantage and recent strong performances against top-tier opposition. The key factor to observe will be whether Aston Villa can maintain defensive discipline and capitalize on Bournemouth's defensive frailties. Villa's ability to restrain Bournemouth's attacking threat will be crucial in determining the outcome of this encounter.

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