Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction

Aston Villa

Home Team
44%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
29%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 23 15 5 3 42 17 25 50
2 Man City 23 14 4 5 47 21 26 46
3 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 35 25 10 46
4 Man United 23 10 8 5 41 34 7 38
5 Chelsea 23 10 7 6 39 25 14 37
6 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 35 32 3 36
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 32 32 0 34
8 Brentford 23 10 3 10 35 32 3 33
9 Newcastle 23 9 6 8 32 29 3 33
10 Everton 23 9 6 8 25 26 -1 33
11 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 24 26 -2 33
12 Brighton 23 7 9 7 33 31 2 30
13 Bournemouth 23 7 9 7 38 43 -5 30
14 Tottenham 23 7 7 9 33 31 2 28
15 Crystal Palace 23 7 7 9 24 28 -4 28
16 Leeds 23 6 8 9 31 38 -7 26
17 Nott'm Forest 23 7 4 12 23 34 -11 25
18 West Ham 23 5 5 13 27 45 -18 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 25 44 -19 15
20 Wolves 23 1 5 17 15 43 -28 8

Recent Trends

Aston Villa ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 4)

Brentford ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sunderland (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Everton (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 2

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Aston Villa and Brentford is predicted to tilt in favor of the home side, Aston Villa, with a 44.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of a high-scoring encounter is also significant, with a 52.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. In the Premier League standings, Aston Villa is in a strong position, sitting 3rd with 46 points, while Brentford is in 8th place with 33 points.

Match Analysis

Aston Villa's recent form has been somewhat mixed, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They displayed strong defensive capabilities, particularly in their recent 2-0 victory against Newcastle away from home. Despite a narrow loss to Everton at home, they managed to keep a clean sheet in a goalless draw against Crystal Palace on the road. Key advanced metrics suggest Aston Villa has been effective in both scoring and defending, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game over the last five fixtures. Brentford, on the other hand, has faced challenges, recording two losses against Nottingham Forest and Chelsea, both without scoring. However, they showed resilience by bouncing back with a 3-0 home victory over Sunderland. Brentford's advanced metrics indicate a potential vulnerability, as they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Their expected goals conceded stands at 1.79, reflecting potential defensive frailties that Aston Villa could exploit.

Final Prediction

Aston Villa's superior league position and solid defensive performances give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to score consistently and maintain clean sheets, coupled with Brentford's recent defensive struggles, further supports the prediction of a home victory. A key factor to watch will be Aston Villa's defensive discipline against Brentford's attack, which has shown flashes of potency despite recent setbacks.