Premier League 2025-2026: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction - 7 Feb 2026

Bournemouth come into this clash in good form: back-to-back wins over Wolves (2–0 away) and Liverpool (3–2 at home) followed by a solid 1–1 draw at Brighton. That run underlines their attacking spark – they’ve averaged 1.8 goals in their last five matches, backed up by 1.738 expected goals per game. Defensively, they still give teams chances (1.6 conceded on average), but the underlying numbers are slightly kinder, with just 1.0 expected goals conceded and one clean sheet in that span, suggesting a more solid base than their season-long goals against column implies. Villa’s recent results have been mixed: an impressive 2–0 win at Newcastle is sandwiched between 1–0 home defeats to Brentford and Everton. They’re still creating consistently, averaging 1.6 goals and 1.798 expected goals over the last five, but the concern is at the back: 1.4 goals conceded per game and a high 2.188 expected goals against. Two clean sheets show they can shut teams out, but overall they’re allowing opponents too many good opportunities.