Premier League 2025-2026: Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction - 24 Jan 2026
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Bournemouth
Home Team
10%
VS
Liverpool
Away Team
81%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 50 |
| 2 | Man City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Man United | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Brentford | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Fulham | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Leeds | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | West Ham | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
| 19 | Burnley | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Wolves | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Bournemouth
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 4)
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bournemouth
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.05
# Clean Sheets:
0
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.96
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Liverpool is expected to emerge victorious in their upcoming match against Bournemouth, with a commanding 81.0% probability of winning. The predicted match outcome suggests a lively encounter, likely featuring over 2.5 goals with a 54.0% probability. Liverpool currently sits in 4th position in the Premier League standings, while Bournemouth is positioned 15th.
Match Analysis
Bournemouth's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a win against Tottenham (3-2) at home, a draw against Brighton (1-1) away, and a narrow loss to league leaders Arsenal (3-2) at home. Despite showing resilience, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings. Bournemouth's offensive efforts have been modest, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game.
Liverpool, while drawing their last three matches, have shown a solid attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five. Their defense has been somewhat sturdier, with two clean sheets in recent fixtures and conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Despite these draws against Burnley, Arsenal, and Fulham, Liverpool's overall expected goals and defensive metrics suggest they are capable of clinching victories.
Final Prediction
Liverpool's superior standing and recent defensive solidity give them the upper hand against Bournemouth. A key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to capitalize on Bournemouth's defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Keep an eye on Liverpool's attacking prowess, as they aim to return to winning ways.
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