Premier League 2025-2026: Brentford vs Everton Prediction - 11 Apr 2026

Brentford come into the game on a run of three straight draws: 0-0 at Leeds, 2-2 at home to Wolves and another 0-0 at Bournemouth. There’s been no shortage of structure, but a lack of cutting edge in two of those matches, and they’ve had to live off relatively few chances – just 6, 10 and 5 shots respectively. The numbers underneath, though, paint a more positive attacking picture: across their last five games they average 1.2 goals scored but a much higher 2.432 expected goals, suggesting they’re creating enough but not finishing. Defensively, 1.4 goals conceded per game against only 1.37 expected shows they’ve occasionally been punished more than their overall play merits, even with two clean sheets in that spell. Everton’s recent form is more decisive: two home wins – 3-0 over Chelsea and 2-0 over Burnley – sandwiched around a 2-0 defeat at Arsenal. Sean Dyche’s side have been efficient rather than expansive, scoring 1.4 goals per game over their last five and conceding 1.2, backed up by very balanced expected figures (1.502 xG for, 1.514 xG against). Like Brentford, they’ve kept two clean sheets in that period, underlining a solid structure. The difference is that Everton have turned their moments into goals more clinically in recent matches, even when second‑best on shots, as against Chelsea and Arsenal.