Premier League 2025-2026: Chelsea vs West Ham Prediction

Chelsea

Home Team
87%
VS

West Ham

Away Team
6%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 23 15 5 3 42 17 25 50
2 Man City 23 14 4 5 47 21 26 46
3 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 35 25 10 46
4 Man United 23 10 8 5 41 34 7 38
5 Chelsea 23 10 7 6 39 25 14 37
6 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 35 32 3 36
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 32 32 0 34
8 Brentford 23 10 3 10 35 32 3 33
9 Newcastle 23 9 6 8 32 29 3 33
10 Everton 23 9 6 8 25 26 -1 33
11 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 24 26 -2 33
12 Brighton 23 7 9 7 33 31 2 30
13 Bournemouth 23 7 9 7 38 43 -5 30
14 Tottenham 23 7 7 9 33 31 2 28
15 Crystal Palace 23 7 7 9 24 28 -4 28
16 Leeds 23 6 8 9 31 38 -7 26
17 Nott'm Forest 23 7 4 12 23 34 -11 25
18 West Ham 23 5 5 13 27 45 -18 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 25 44 -19 15
20 Wolves 23 1 5 17 15 43 -28 8

Recent Trends

Chelsea ✅ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)

West Ham ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sunderland (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.37
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Chelsea is heavily favored with an 87.0% probability of victory against West Ham, who have a mere 6.0% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 7.0%. The game is anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 54.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Chelsea currently sits in 5th place, while West Ham languishes in 18th, fighting to escape relegation.

Match Analysis

Chelsea has shown resilience in their recent performances, winning two out of their last three matches. They secured a convincing 3-1 away victory against Crystal Palace and a 2-0 home win against Brentford. However, their form is not without blemish, as demonstrated by their 2-1 defeat to Fulham. Chelsea's attacking prowess is evident with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, although they have only managed one clean sheet, indicating potential vulnerability in defense. Conversely, West Ham has struggled this season, reflected in their precarious league position. Their recent form shows a mix of results, with victories over Sunderland and Tottenham but a disappointing loss to Nottingham Forest. West Ham's offensive struggles are apparent, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding 1.8 goals on average, and have failed to keep a clean sheet during this period. Their expected goals metrics further underscore their challenges, with higher expected goals conceded than scored.

Final Prediction

Chelsea's superior form and standing give them a significant edge over West Ham in this fixture. Their more consistent attacking output and recent victories suggest they have the tools to overcome West Ham's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch will be Chelsea's ability to maintain defensive solidity, as West Ham seeks any opportunity to exploit potential gaps.