Premier League 2025-2026: Everton vs Arsenal Prediction - 20 Dec 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Everton

Home Team
6%
VS

Arsenal

Away Team
86%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 30 10 20 36
2 Man City 16 11 1 4 38 16 22 34
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 25 17 8 33
4 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 27 15 12 28
5 Crystal Palace 16 7 5 4 20 15 5 26
6 Man United 16 7 5 4 30 26 4 26
7 Liverpool 16 8 2 6 26 24 2 26
8 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 19 17 2 26
9 Everton 16 7 3 6 18 19 -1 24
10 Brighton 16 6 5 5 25 23 2 23
11 Tottenham 16 6 4 6 25 21 4 22
12 Newcastle 16 6 4 6 21 20 1 22
13 Bournemouth 16 5 6 5 25 28 -3 21
14 Fulham 16 6 2 8 23 26 -3 20
15 Brentford 16 6 2 8 22 25 -3 20
16 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 17 25 -8 18
17 Leeds 16 4 4 8 20 30 -10 16
18 West Ham 16 3 4 9 19 32 -13 13
19 Burnley 16 3 1 12 18 33 -15 10
20 Wolves 16 0 2 14 9 35 -26 2

Recent Trends

Everton L W W L W

  • Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)

Arsenal W L W D W

  • Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Tottenham (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Everton

xG (avg) 1.62
xGA (avg) 1.49
Clean Sheets 3

Arsenal

xG (avg) 2.00
xGA (avg) 1.18
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Arsenal is favored to secure a victory over Everton with an 86.0% probability. The prediction also leans towards a match with under 2.5 goals, supported by a 48.0% chance. Currently, Arsenal sits at the top of the league, while Everton holds the 9th position.

Match Analysis

Everton faces a tough challenge ahead, coming off a mixed bag of results in their last three fixtures. They secured victories against Nott'm Forest and Bournemouth, managing to keep clean sheets in both encounters. However, a recent defeat at Chelsea highlights some inconsistencies, particularly in away matches. Everton's ability to maintain a strong defensive stance, as evidenced by their three clean sheets in the last five games, might be crucial against the league leaders. On the other hand, Arsenal has demonstrated solid form by winning two of their last three matches, defeating Wolves and Brentford at home, though they slipped up against Aston Villa away. Arsenal's attack has averaged 1.4 goals in recent games, with their expected goals suggesting they might fare even better. Defensively, with an average of just 1 goal conceded per match, they have been resolute, a factor that might secure them the upper hand against Everton.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's position at the top of the table and their strong current form give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to control games with a sturdy defense and an efficient attack could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be how Everton's defense holds up against Arsenal's potent forward line, especially considering the Gunners' superior expected goals metrics.

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