Premier League 2025-2026: Fulham vs Arsenal Prediction - 18 Oct 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Fulham

Home Team
10%
VS

Arsenal

Away Team
79%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 14 3 11 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 13 9 4 15
3 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 13 5 8 14
4 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 11 8 3 14
5 Man City 7 4 1 2 15 6 9 13
6 Crystal Palace 7 3 3 1 9 5 4 12
7 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 13 9 4 11
8 Everton 7 3 2 2 9 7 2 11
9 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 7 6 1 11
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 9 11 -2 10
11 Newcastle 7 2 3 2 6 5 1 9
12 Brighton 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
13 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 6 7 -1 9
14 Fulham 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
15 Leeds 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
16 Brentford 7 2 1 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Nott'm Forest 7 1 2 4 5 12 -7 5
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4
19 West Ham 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4
20 Wolves 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2

Recent Trends

Fulham L L W W L

  • Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)

Arsenal W W D W L

  • Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

xG (avg) 1.44
xGA (avg) 1.07
Clean Sheets 1

Arsenal

xG (avg) 1.30
xGA (avg) 0.87
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

Arsenal is heavily favored to win against Fulham with a commanding 79.0% probability of victory, while Fulham's chances stand at just 10.0%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is also 10.0%. Expectations for a high-scoring match are moderate, with a 51.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Arsenal currently leads the Premier League standings, while Fulham sits in 14th place, making this an intriguing top-versus-mid-table clash.

Match Analysis

In their last three matches, Fulham has had mixed results. They suffered back-to-back away defeats against Bournemouth and Aston Villa, both ending 3-1. However, they found success at home against Brentford with a convincing 3-1 victory. Fulham's recent form suggests vulnerability in defense, conceding three goals in each of their last two away games, which could be a crucial factor against a high-flying Arsenal side. Arsenal, on the other hand, have been in fine form, securing victories against West Ham and Newcastle, and drawing with Manchester City. Their defense has been particularly robust, conceding only two goals across these three fixtures, with two clean sheets. Arsenal's advanced metrics also reflect a well-balanced side, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.666 goals conceded in their recent matches, indicating their capability to both attack and defend effectively.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's current form and standing in the league provide them with a significant edge over Fulham. Their defensive solidity, combined with a strong attacking lineup, places them in a favorable position to secure another win. A key factor to watch in this matchup will be Arsenal's ability to exploit Fulham's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring game.

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