Premier League 2025-2026: Fulham vs Brighton Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
37%
VS

Brighton

Away Team
39%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 22 7 9 6 32 29 3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 2 27
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8

Recent Trends

Fulham ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Leeds (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)

Brighton ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 1

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.23
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Fulham and Brighton is poised to be a closely contested affair, with Brighton having a slight edge according to the probabilities—39.0% for an away win versus 37.0% for a Fulham victory. A draw is the least likely outcome at 23.0%. Additionally, with a 54.0% probability, the game is expected to see over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, Fulham holds the 11th spot in the Premier League standings, right above Brighton in 12th position, with just a single point separating the two sides.

Match Analysis

In recent weeks, Fulham has demonstrated mixed form, securing a win against Chelsea (2-1) and a draw against Liverpool (2-2), both at home, but faltering away against Leeds (0-1). They have been consistent offensively, averaging 2.0 goals scored in their last five matches, though their defense has been equally porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. This inconsistency is mirrored in their expected goals data, with 1.024 expected goals scored and 1.666 expected goals conceded on average, suggesting a potential vulnerability at the back. Brighton, on the other hand, has shown resilience, holding Man City to a 1-1 draw away and defeating Burnley 2-0 at home, though they were held to a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth. Brighton's attack has been slightly less prolific, averaging 1.2 goals per game recently, but their expected goals tally of 1.776 suggests they might be underachieving in front of goal. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, aligning with their expected goals against of 2.230, indicating a potential area of concern.

Final Prediction

Brighton appears to have a minimal edge in this match-up, partly due to their ability to secure results against tough opponents like Man City. The key factor to watch will be the ability of both teams to convert chances, especially considering the expected goals data, which suggests both teams have room for improvement in attacking efficiency. With both sides displaying defensive frailties, fans can anticipate an open and entertaining game, potentially with goals aplenty.