Premier League 2025-2026: Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction - 7 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Fulham

Home Team
25%
VS

Chelsea

Away Team
56%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 26 48
2 Man City 20 13 3 4 44 18 26 42
3 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 9 42
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 28 4 34
5 Chelsea 20 8 7 5 33 22 11 31
6 Man United 20 8 7 5 34 30 4 31
7 Brentford 20 9 3 8 32 28 4 30
8 Sunderland 20 7 9 4 21 19 2 30
9 Newcastle 20 8 5 7 28 24 4 29
10 Brighton 20 7 7 6 30 27 3 28
11 Fulham 20 8 4 8 28 29 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 4 8 22 24 -2 28
13 Tottenham 20 7 6 7 28 24 4 27
14 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 22 23 -1 27
15 Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 38 -7 23
16 Leeds 20 5 7 8 26 33 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 20 5 3 12 19 33 -14 18
18 West Ham 20 3 5 12 21 41 -20 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 20 1 3 16 14 40 -26 6

Recent Trends

Fulham D D W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 2)

Chelsea D D L D W

  • Last Match: D vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

xG (avg) 1.38
xGA (avg) 1.22
Clean Sheets 2

Chelsea

xG (avg) 1.28
xGA (avg) 1.64
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Chelsea is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Fulham, with a 56.0% probability of winning the match. The game is expected to stay under 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% chance of this outcome. Currently, Chelsea holds the 5th position in the Premier League standings, while Fulham is positioned 11th.

Match Analysis

Fulham has shown mixed results in their recent performances, securing a win against West Ham and drawing against Liverpool and Crystal Palace. Their defense seems to be tightening up, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. However, they have been averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game, suggesting a balanced but vulnerable side. Their expected goals metrics reveal they are slightly underperforming in both scoring and defending. Chelsea, on the other hand, is experiencing a challenging phase with no wins in their last three matches, drawing against Man City and Bournemouth, and losing to Aston Villa. Despite their struggles, Chelsea's defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, the same as they have scored. Their expected goals statistics indicate they are slightly underperforming in attack but are more vulnerable defensively.

Final Prediction

Chelsea is favored to win due to their higher standing in the league and a more consistent track record in recent matches. Fulham's recent improvement in defense will be put to the test against Chelsea's attacking prowess. A key factor to watch will be whether Chelsea can convert their scoring opportunities, as their expected goals suggest they have room for improvement in front of the goal.

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