Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Liverpool Prediction - 9 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Man City

Home Team
68%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
15%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 18 3 15 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 12 19
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 4 18
4 Sunderland 10 5 3 2 12 8 4 18
5 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 3 18
6 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 17 8 9 17
7 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 18 11 7 17
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 17 16 1 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 5 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 2 15
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
14 Everton 10 3 3 4 10 13 -3 12
15 Fulham 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 19 -7 10
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2

Recent Trends

Man City W L W W W

  • Last Match: W vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Burnley (Goals: 5 - 1)

Liverpool W L L L L

  • Last Match: W vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

xG (avg) 2.29
xGA (avg) 1.00
Clean Sheets 2

Liverpool

xG (avg) 2.14
xGA (avg) 2.03
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Manchester City are strong favorites with a 68.0% probability of victory against Liverpool, who have a 15.0% chance of winning. The game is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 54.0% probability of this outcome. Currently, Manchester City sit in second place on the league table, while Liverpool are close behind in third position.

Match Analysis

Manchester City enter this match with a mixed record from their last three games, securing two wins against Bournemouth and Everton at home but suffering a defeat away to Aston Villa. City's recent form indicates a solid offensive and defensive display, with an average of 2.6 goals scored and only 0.8 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. Their ability to maintain two clean sheets in these matches further highlights their defensive prowess. On the other hand, Liverpool's recent performances have been less consistent, with a victory over Aston Villa followed by back-to-back losses to Brentford and Manchester United. Despite this, Liverpool have shown a capability to score, averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be a concern against City's potent attack.

Final Prediction

Manchester City's superior recent form and stronger defensive metrics provide them with an edge in this encounter. Their ability to score frequently and keep clean sheets could be decisive against a Liverpool side struggling defensively. Watch for City's attacking efficiency and Liverpool's resilience, as these elements will likely shape the outcome of this high-stakes match.

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