Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Wolves Prediction

Man City

Home Team
96%
VS

Wolves

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 22 7 9 6 32 29 3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 2 27
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8

Recent Trends

Man City ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 1)

Wolves ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 1

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Manchester City and Wolverhampton Wanderers appears heavily skewed in favor of the home team. With a 96% probability of victory for Manchester City, they stand as the clear favorites. Wolves, languishing at the bottom of the Premier League in 20th place, face a formidable challenge. The match is expected to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 57% likelihood of this outcome, indicating an attacking display from City, who are currently 2nd in the league standings.

Match Analysis

Manchester City's recent form has been a mixed bag, with two draws and a loss in their last three matches. They faced a 2-0 defeat away to rivals Manchester United and settled for 1-1 draws against both Brighton and Chelsea at home. Despite these setbacks, City maintains a strong offensive record, scoring an average of 2.2 goals in their last five games. Their expected goals figure of 2.568 suggests they are creating plenty of scoring opportunities but may need to sharpen their finishing. In contrast, Wolves have shown a slight improvement, securing a win against West Ham and drawing against Newcastle and Everton. However, their offensive output remains a concern, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have managed two clean sheets, yet their average of 1.4 goals conceded indicates vulnerabilities at the back. Wolves' expected goals and goals conceded metrics align closely with their actual performance, reflecting struggles in both attack and defense.

Final Prediction

Manchester City is poised to capitalize on Wolves' weaknesses, particularly given their superior attacking potential and league standing. City's ability to generate high-quality chances could be the decisive factor, especially against a Wolves side that has struggled to score. A key element to monitor during the match will be City's conversion rate, as their expected goals suggest they are capable of a high-scoring performance if they can finish effectively.