Premier League 2025-2026: Man United vs Tottenham Prediction - 7 Feb 2026
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Man United
Home Team
60%
VS
Tottenham
Away Team
19%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 17 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Man City | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 47 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 46 |
| 4 | Man United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 40 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | Brentford | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 36 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Fulham | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Everton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Brighton | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 29 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | Leeds | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 26 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
| 18 | West Ham | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 20 |
| 19 | Burnley | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
| 20 | Wolves | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Man United
- Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
Tottenham
- Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.36
# Clean Sheets:
1
Tottenham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.31
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Man United are favoured to win at Old Trafford with a 60.0% probability, compared to just 19.0% for Tottenham and a 21.0% chance of a draw. With United sitting 4th on 41 points and Spurs down in 14th on 29 points, the hosts are also stronger in the table. The game is expected to be open: there’s a 54.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58.0% chance both teams score.
Match Analysis
United come into this on a surge: three straight wins, including back‑to‑back 3–2 victories over Fulham and Arsenal and a 2–0 home win against Man City. They’re averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over their last five, with expected goals numbers (2.038 for, 1.362 against) backing up that they’re consistently creating more than they allow. Only one clean sheet in that period shows they still give opponents chances, but their attack is in clear rhythm.
Tottenham’s recent form tells a different story. They are winless in three, drawing 2–2 with both Man City and Burnley before a 2–1 home defeat to West Ham. Over the last five matches they’ve averaged just 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, with xG figures (1.216 for, 1.312 against) suggesting a slight tilt towards being second best in most games. No clean sheets in that spell underline their defensive vulnerability, especially against stronger attacks.
Final Prediction
United’s sharper attack, stronger underlying numbers, and superior league position give them the edge, especially at home. Tottenham’s leaky defence and lack of recent wins make it hard to see them controlling this contest. The key factor to watch will be whether Spurs’ back line can contain United’s in‑form attack long enough to stay in the game.
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