Premier League 2025-2026: Man United vs Tottenham Prediction - 7 Feb 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Man United

Home Team
60%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
19%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 24 16 5 3 46 17 29 53
2 Man City 24 14 5 5 49 23 26 47
3 Aston Villa 24 14 4 6 35 26 9 46
4 Man United 24 11 8 5 44 36 8 41
5 Chelsea 24 11 7 6 42 27 15 40
6 Liverpool 24 11 6 7 39 33 6 39
7 Brentford 24 11 3 10 36 32 4 36
8 Sunderland 24 9 9 6 27 26 1 36
9 Fulham 24 10 4 10 34 35 -1 34
10 Everton 24 9 7 8 26 27 -1 34
11 Newcastle 24 9 6 9 33 33 0 33
12 Bournemouth 24 8 9 7 40 43 -3 33
13 Brighton 24 7 10 7 34 32 2 31
14 Tottenham 24 7 8 9 35 33 2 29
15 Crystal Palace 24 7 8 9 25 29 -4 29
16 Leeds 24 6 8 10 31 42 -11 26
17 Nott'm Forest 24 7 5 12 24 35 -11 26
18 West Ham 24 5 5 14 29 48 -19 20
19 Burnley 24 3 6 15 25 47 -22 15
20 Wolves 24 1 5 18 15 45 -30 8

Recent Trends

Man United W W W D D

  • Last Match: W vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Arsenal (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)

Tottenham D D L L D

  • Last Match: D vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man United

xG (avg) 2.04
xGA (avg) 1.36
Clean Sheets 1

Tottenham

xG (avg) 1.22
xGA (avg) 1.31
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Man United are favoured to win at Old Trafford with a 60.0% probability, compared to just 19.0% for Tottenham and a 21.0% chance of a draw. With United sitting 4th on 41 points and Spurs down in 14th on 29 points, the hosts are also stronger in the table. The game is expected to be open: there’s a 54.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58.0% chance both teams score.

Match Analysis

United come into this on a surge: three straight wins, including back‑to‑back 3–2 victories over Fulham and Arsenal and a 2–0 home win against Man City. They’re averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over their last five, with expected goals numbers (2.038 for, 1.362 against) backing up that they’re consistently creating more than they allow. Only one clean sheet in that period shows they still give opponents chances, but their attack is in clear rhythm. Tottenham’s recent form tells a different story. They are winless in three, drawing 2–2 with both Man City and Burnley before a 2–1 home defeat to West Ham. Over the last five matches they’ve averaged just 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, with xG figures (1.216 for, 1.312 against) suggesting a slight tilt towards being second best in most games. No clean sheets in that spell underline their defensive vulnerability, especially against stronger attacks.

Final Prediction

United’s sharper attack, stronger underlying numbers, and superior league position give them the edge, especially at home. Tottenham’s leaky defence and lack of recent wins make it hard to see them controlling this contest. The key factor to watch will be whether Spurs’ back line can contain United’s in‑form attack long enough to stay in the game.

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