Premier League 2025-2026: Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction - 25 Oct 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Newcastle

Home Team
79%
VS

Fulham

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 15 3 12 19
2 Man City 8 5 1 2 17 6 11 16
3 Bournemouth 8 4 3 1 14 11 3 15
4 Liverpool 8 5 0 3 14 11 3 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 16 9 7 14
6 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 14 7 7 14
7 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 9 6 3 14
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 4 1 12 8 4 13
9 Man United 8 4 1 3 11 12 -1 13
10 Brighton 8 3 3 2 12 11 1 12
11 Aston Villa 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
12 Everton 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
13 Brentford 8 3 1 4 11 12 -1 10
14 Newcastle 8 2 3 3 7 7 0 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
16 Leeds 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
17 Burnley 8 2 1 5 9 15 -6 7
18 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 5 15 -10 5
19 West Ham 8 1 1 6 6 18 -12 4
20 Wolves 8 0 2 6 5 16 -11 2

Recent Trends

Newcastle L W L D W

  • Last Match: L vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)

Fulham L L L W W

  • Last Match: L vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Newcastle

xG (avg) 1.93
xGA (avg) 0.86
Clean Sheets 3

Fulham

xG (avg) 0.86
xGA (avg) 1.64
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Newcastle and Fulham is forecasted to heavily favor the home team, Newcastle, with a 79% probability of victory. In contrast, Fulham's chances of stealing an away win stand at a mere 9%, while the likelihood of a draw is 11%. This encounter is also expected to yield over 2.5 goals, with a 53% probability, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair. Currently, Newcastle sits at 14th place in the Premier League standings, while Fulham trails closely behind in 15th position.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Newcastle has shown a mixed bag of results with a victory sandwiched between two losses. They managed a 2-0 win against Nott'm Forest at home but stumbled against Brighton and Arsenal, both times conceding 2 goals. Despite these setbacks, Newcastle has demonstrated resilience in their defense, achieving three clean sheets in their last five matches. Their average goals scored stands at 1.5, with a slightly higher expected goals tally of 1.9275, indicating they could potentially convert more chances. Fulham, on the other hand, is struggling with a string of defeats, having lost their last three encounters. Their latest matchups saw them conceding three goals each to Bournemouth and Aston Villa, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Fulham's average goals scored in the last five games is 0.75, which is starkly lower than Newcastle's, compounded by their higher average goals conceded at 2.25. Their expected goals metric is also below par at 0.8575, suggesting difficulties in creating quality scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Newcastle appears to have a distinct advantage going into this match, bolstered by their superior defensive record and better goal-scoring metrics. Their ability to keep clean sheets could be pivotal against a Fulham side struggling to find the back of the net. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's ability to capitalize on their expected goals and convert chances, potentially leading to a decisive victory over their visitors.

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