Premier League 2025-2026: Nott'm Forest vs Leeds Prediction - 9 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Nott'm Forest

Home Team
34%
VS

Leeds

Away Team
43%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 18 3 15 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 12 19
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 4 18
4 Sunderland 10 5 3 2 12 8 4 18
5 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 3 18
6 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 17 8 9 17
7 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 18 11 7 17
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 17 16 1 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 5 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 2 15
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
14 Everton 10 3 3 4 10 13 -3 12
15 Fulham 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 19 -7 10
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2

Recent Trends

Nott'm Forest D L L L L

  • Last Match: D vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 1)

Leeds L W L L D

  • Last Match: L vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Burnley (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nott'm Forest

xG (avg) 1.50
xGA (avg) 1.80
Clean Sheets 0

Leeds

xG (avg) 0.83
xGA (avg) 1.72
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nott'm Forest and Leeds is set to be a tightly contested affair, with Leeds slightly favored to secure a victory. The probability of an away win stands at 43.0%, while the chance of a Nott'm Forest victory is 34.0%. A draw is less likely at 23.0%. With both teams struggling to find the back of the net in recent matches, the game is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals. Currently, Nott'm Forest sits in 19th place, while Leeds is 16th in the Premier League standings.

Match Analysis

Examining recent performances, Nott'm Forest is in a challenging period. They have managed just one point from their last three matches, drawing 2-2 against Man United and suffering defeats against Bournemouth and Chelsea. Despite a respectable draw against Man United, scoring remains a concern, having found the net only twice in these outings. Their defensive vulnerabilities are also evident, conceding seven goals across the same period. Leeds, on the other hand, have also faced difficulties, securing a solitary win against West Ham, but losing to Brighton and Burnley. Their attack has been somewhat blunted, scoring only twice in their last three games while conceding six. In terms of advanced metrics, Leeds has averaged just 0.6 goals per game in their last five, with an expected goals of 0.828, indicating struggles in converting chances.

Final Prediction

Leeds is predicted to edge out Nott'm Forest primarily due to their slightly better league standing and recent victory. The key factor to watch will be whether either team can break their scoring slump, with Leeds' ability to capitalize on Nott'm Forest's defensive frailties being crucial. Given both teams' current form, this encounter promises to be a battle of attrition as they each look to climb the league table.

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