Premier League 2025-2026: Tottenham vs West Ham Prediction - 17 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Tottenham

Home Team
78%
VS

West Ham

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 21 15 4 2 40 14 26 49
2 Man City 21 13 4 4 45 19 26 43
3 Aston Villa 21 13 4 4 33 24 9 43
4 Liverpool 21 10 5 6 32 28 4 35
5 Brentford 21 10 3 8 35 28 7 33
6 Newcastle 21 9 5 7 32 27 5 32
7 Man United 21 8 8 5 36 32 4 32
8 Chelsea 21 8 7 6 34 24 10 31
9 Fulham 21 9 4 8 30 30 0 31
10 Sunderland 21 7 9 5 21 22 -1 30
11 Brighton 21 7 8 6 31 28 3 29
12 Everton 21 8 5 8 23 25 -2 29
13 Crystal Palace 21 7 7 7 22 23 -1 28
14 Tottenham 21 7 6 8 30 27 3 27
15 Bournemouth 21 6 8 7 34 40 -6 26
16 Leeds 21 5 7 9 29 37 -8 22
17 Nott'm Forest 21 6 3 12 21 34 -13 21
18 West Ham 21 3 5 13 22 43 -21 14
19 Burnley 21 3 4 14 22 41 -19 13
20 Wolves 21 1 4 16 15 41 -26 7

Recent Trends

Tottenham L D D W L

  • Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)

West Ham L L D L L

  • Last Match: L vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Tottenham

xG (avg) 1.52
xGA (avg) 0.70
Clean Sheets 2

West Ham

xG (avg) 0.95
xGA (avg) 2.74
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Tottenham and West Ham, the odds heavily favor a home win for Tottenham, with a 78% probability. The likelihood of a draw stands at 12%, while a West Ham victory is the least likely outcome at 10%. Both teams have struggled to score recently, hinting at a game with less than 2.5 goals, with a 48% probability of this happening. In terms of league standings, Tottenham is positioned 14th, while West Ham is in the relegation zone at 18th.

Match Analysis

Tottenham's recent performances have been a mixed bag. Despite a commendable average of 1.4 goals scored in their last five games, they've managed just two clean sheets. Their recent outings include a narrow loss to Bournemouth and draws against Sunderland and Brentford, signaling a need for improvement. An expected goals rate of 1.518 indicates their attacking potential, but they must overcome their inconsistency to capitalize on this. West Ham, on the other hand, is grappling with a more challenging form. With only 0.8 goals scored on average in their last five matches and a concerning lack of clean sheets, they face a tough task ahead. Their recent run includes losses to Nott'm Forest and Wolves and a draw against Brighton, reflecting their defensive vulnerabilities. West Ham's expected goals conceded stands at a substantial 2.736, pointing to their defensive lapses as a critical area to address.

Final Prediction

Tottenham's edge in this matchup stems from their more balanced overall play and potential to convert opportunities, as reflected by their expected goals statistics. West Ham's defensive struggles might offer Tottenham the chance to exploit gaps and secure a pivotal win. Keep an eye on Tottenham's ability to control the game tempo, as this could be the key factor in determining the outcome.

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