Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
2%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 20 15 1 4 43 17 26 46
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 17 43
3 Napoli 20 12 4 4 30 17 13 40
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 12 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Bologna 20 8 6 6 29 22 7 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 20 5 7 8 14 22 -8 22
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 0

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Juventus is heavily tilted in favor of Juventus, with a commanding 95% probability of victory. As the fourth-placed team in Serie A, Juventus is expected to secure a win against 16th-placed Cagliari. Additionally, the match is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 47% probability for such an outcome, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Cagliari enters this match with a less-than-stellar recent performance record. The team has failed to secure a win in their last three matches, suffering defeats against Genoa and Milan, and managing only a draw against Cremonese. Over these games, Cagliari has struggled both offensively and defensively, scoring just twice while conceding six goals. Their recent form is further reflected in their average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded over the last five games, without any clean sheets to their name. In contrast, Juventus appears to be in a commanding position, having won two of their last three games, including a dominant 5-0 victory over Cremonese and a solid 3-0 win against Sassuolo. Even their single draw against Lecce showcased their defensive resilience. Juventus's recent form is buoyed by their ability to maintain clean sheets in three out of their last five matches, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per game. Their expected goals metrics further underscore their attacking prowess, indicating a strong offensive and defensive balance heading into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Juventus's superior form and position in the league table give them a decisive edge over Cagliari in this fixture. Their robust defensive record and efficient attack suggest they are well-equipped to capitalize on Cagliari's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to maintain their defensive solidity, which has been a cornerstone of their recent success.