Serie A 2025-2026: Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction - 26 Oct 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Home Team
9%
VS
Bologna
Away Team
81%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Fiorentina
- Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Fiorentina
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.29
# Clean Sheets:
1
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.27
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Fiorentina and Bologna is heavily tipped in favor of Bologna, with an 81% chance of an away victory. Fiorentina, currently languishing at 18th place, faces a daunting challenge against 5th-placed Bologna. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
Fiorentina has had a challenging start to their season, still seeking their first win after seven matches. Their recent form includes two consecutive 2-1 losses against Milan and Roma, followed by a goalless draw with Pisa. Their struggles in both scoring and defense are evident, as they average 1 goal scored and over 2 goals conceded per game in their last five fixtures. Despite creating nearly one expected goal per game, they have only managed one clean sheet in their last five outings.
In contrast, Bologna has been solid, capturing two wins and a draw in their last three games. A noteworthy 4-0 victory over Pisa and a commendable 2-0 triumph against Cagliari highlight their attacking and defensive prowess. Their ability to maintain defensive solidity is shown by two clean sheets in recent matches. Bologna averages 1 goal scored and conceded per match, with expected goals reflecting a slightly lower attacking output but a more robust defense compared to Fiorentina.
Final Prediction
Bologna's edge in this match is underscored by their superior form and league position. Their defensive resilience and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities give them a significant advantage. A key factor to watch in this game is Bologna's ability to maintain their defensive structure against a struggling Fiorentina attack, which could be decisive in securing the predicted away victory.
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