Serie A 2025-2026: Genoa vs Bologna Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
32%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
46%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 17 27 49
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 15 39
6 Como 21 10 7 4 31 16 15 37
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 6 30
9 Lazio 21 7 7 7 21 19 2 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
11 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 28 -5 23
12 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 20 28 -8 23
13 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
14 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 34 -13 23
15 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 30 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 32 -9 17
18 Lecce 21 4 5 12 13 29 -16 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 31 -15 14
20 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14

Recent Trends

Genoa ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)

Bologna ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.05
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Serie A match between Genoa and Bologna, the prediction leans towards an away victory for Bologna with a 46.0% probability. Genoa's chances of winning stand at a lower 32.0%, while a draw is the least likely outcome at 22.0%. The match is also expected to have under 2.5 goals, with Bologna currently sitting in 8th position and Genoa in 16th on the league table.

Match Analysis

Genoa has shown resilience in their recent matches, securing a win against Cagliari and drawing with Parma and Milan. Their defense has been notably solid, keeping two clean sheets in their last three games and conceding just one goal in the process. However, their offensive play has been less prolific, averaging 1.4 goals per game over their last five outings. On the advanced metrics front, Genoa's expected goals tally indicates they might struggle to capitalize on scoring opportunities, with just 1.07 expected goals on average. Bologna, on the other hand, has been more unpredictable. They notched a win against Verona but suffered a home defeat to Fiorentina and drew against Como. Bologna's attacking prowess is slightly better than Genoa's, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense has been leaky, failing to register a single clean sheet in the same period. This defensive vulnerability is evident in their higher expected goals conceded metric of 2.05, suggesting potential weaknesses that Genoa could exploit.

Final Prediction

Bologna's superior league standing and slightly better offensive performance provide them with an edge in this encounter. Their ability to score more consistently could be the key factor in overcoming Genoa, despite their defensive frailties. The critical aspect to watch during the game will be how Bologna's defense handles Genoa's attempts to break through, potentially impacting the final result.