Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Genoa Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
62%
VS

Genoa

Away Team
19%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 22 17 1 4 50 19 31 52
2 Milan 22 13 8 1 35 17 18 47
3 Roma 22 14 1 7 27 13 14 43
4 Napoli 22 13 4 5 31 20 11 43
5 Juventus 22 12 6 4 35 17 18 42
6 Como 22 11 7 4 37 16 21 40
7 Atalanta 22 9 8 5 30 20 10 35
8 Bologna 22 8 6 8 32 27 5 30
9 Lazio 22 7 8 7 21 19 2 29
10 Udinese 22 8 5 9 25 34 -9 29
11 Sassuolo 22 7 5 10 24 28 -4 26
12 Cagliari 22 6 7 9 24 31 -7 25
13 Genoa 22 5 8 9 25 31 -6 23
14 Cremonese 22 5 8 9 20 29 -9 23
15 Parma 22 5 8 9 14 26 -12 23
16 Torino 22 6 5 11 21 40 -19 23
17 Lecce 22 4 6 12 13 29 -16 18
18 Fiorentina 22 3 8 11 24 34 -10 17
19 Pisa 22 1 11 10 18 37 -19 14
20 Verona 22 2 8 12 18 37 -19 14

Recent Trends

Lazio ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)

Genoa ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 2

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Genoa is anticipated to favor the home team, with a 62.0% probability of Lazio securing a victory. In contrast, Genoa's chances of triumph stand at a modest 19.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is at 20.0%. Both teams are positioned in the mid to lower section of the Serie A table, with Lazio holding the 9th place and Genoa in the 13th spot. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with a 44.0% probability of the match having fewer than 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Lazio comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent results. Their last three games have seen them secure a win against Verona, draw with Lecce, and suffer a heavy home defeat to Como. This inconsistency is reflected in their goal-scoring struggles, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches. Defensively, they have been slightly more stable, managing two clean sheets in their recent outings. However, their concession rate of 1.6 goals per game points to vulnerabilities at the back. Genoa, on the other hand, appears to be gaining momentum. They have picked up valuable points from their last three encounters, including a strong 3-0 victory over Cagliari and a narrow win against Bologna. Their ability to find the back of the net has been more reliable, averaging 1.4 goals per game in recent performances. Despite this offensive uptick, Genoa's defense mirrors Lazio's in terms of goals conceded, which could be a critical area in the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Lazio's home advantage and higher league standing give them a slight edge in this fixture. However, Genoa's recent form and offensive capabilities might present a significant challenge. A key factor to watch will be Lazio's ability to tighten their defense and capitalize on their home-ground advantage to secure the predicted win. Fans should keep an eye on how both teams approach their defensive strategies, as this may ultimately decide the outcome.