Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Como Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
34%
VS
Como
Away Team
41%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
Como
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
2
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.54
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lecce and Como is shaping up to be a closely contested affair. The probability of Como emerging victorious stands at 41.0%, slightly higher than Lecce's 34.0%, making them the favorites in this encounter. With a 46.0% probability, the match is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals. Currently, Como occupies the 7th spot in the Serie A standings, while Lecce is further down at 14th.
Match Analysis
Lecce's recent form has been a mix of victories and setbacks. They managed to secure a win against Pisa with a 1-0 result at home and repeated their success against Torino with a 2-1 victory, also on home turf. However, they stumbled against Cremonese, suffering a 2-0 defeat away. Lecce has been relatively solid defensively, with an average of 0.4 goals conceded in their last five games and two clean sheets to their name. Despite averaging only 0.6 goals scored in the last five games, their expected goals metric of 1.202 suggests potential for improvement in attack.
On the other hand, Como has experienced a challenging stretch, highlighted by losses against top-tier teams like Roma and Inter, conceding a total of five goals without finding the net. However, they did bounce back with an impressive 2-0 home victory over Sassuolo. Como averages one goal per game over their last five outings, but their defensive frailties are apparent with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. Their expected goals against statistic of 1.538 indicates that defensive lapses could be a concern against Lecce.
Final Prediction
Como's slight edge in the prediction is attributed to their higher standing in Serie A and a marginally better recent form against lower-ranked opponents. The key factor in this matchup will be Como's ability to maintain defensive solidity while capitalizing on Lecce's occasional vulnerabilities. Fans should keep an eye on the dynamic between Como's attack and Lecce's defense, as this could be the decisive battleground in the match.