Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Lazio Prediction

Lecce

Home Team
13%
VS

Lazio

Away Team
75%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 17 27 49
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 15 39
6 Como 21 10 7 4 31 16 15 37
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 6 30
9 Lazio 21 7 7 7 21 19 2 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
11 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 28 -5 23
12 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 20 28 -8 23
13 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
14 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 34 -13 23
15 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 30 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 32 -9 17
18 Lecce 21 4 5 12 13 29 -16 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 31 -15 14
20 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14

Recent Trends

Lecce ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)

Lazio ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 0

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.14
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Lazio sees the latter as the clear favorite, with a 75% probability of securing a victory. This contrasts sharply with Lecce's modest 13% chance of winning. The predicted result leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 44%. In terms of league standings, Lazio currently holds the 9th spot, while Lecce struggles at 18th, dangerously close to relegation.

Match Analysis

Lecce's recent form has been disappointing, as they find themselves on a three-game losing streak. Their inability to secure points has been evident in their last outings against Milan, Inter, and Parma. Offensively, Lecce has managed only 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, reflecting a struggle to find the back of the net. Defensively, they've conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, with no clean sheets to their name, which highlights their vulnerability at the back. On the other hand, Lazio's recent performances show a more balanced outcome with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three games. Their victory against Verona was a much-needed confidence boost, but they suffered a setback with a heavy home loss to Como. Lazio's advanced metrics indicate a slight edge in defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average over their last five matches, and keeping one clean sheet. Their offensive output, however, remains modest, scoring just 0.6 goals per game.

Final Prediction

Lazio's edge in this matchup is bolstered by their superior league standing and recent defensive solidity, which could prove decisive against a Lecce side struggling to score. A key factor to watch will be whether Lazio can capitalize on their defensive strength to secure a vital win and push further up the table. This match may not promise an abundance of goals, but the tactical battle and implications for both teams' futures in the league make it an intriguing encounter.