Serie A 2025-2026: Pisa vs Atalanta Prediction

Pisa

Home Team
11%
VS

Atalanta

Away Team
78%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 20 15 1 4 43 17 26 46
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 17 43
3 Napoli 20 12 4 4 30 17 13 40
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 12 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Bologna 20 8 6 6 29 22 7 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 20 5 7 8 14 22 -8 22
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Pisa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 0

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Pisa and Atalanta, the odds heavily favor Atalanta with a 78.0% probability of winning. This prediction aligns with Atalanta's superior position in the Serie A standings, currently sitting at 7th place, while Pisa struggles at 19th. Additionally, the game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a moderate probability of 48.0%.

Match Analysis

Pisa's recent performances have been less than stellar. In their last three games, they managed two draws against Udinese and Genoa, but suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat at home to Como. Their lack of victories is concerning, and they have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. Pisa's advanced metrics highlight their struggles, with a low average of 0.2 goals scored per game and an average of 1.6 goals conceded. In contrast, Atalanta enters this match on a high, having secured three consecutive victories against Torino, Bologna, and Roma, all without conceding a goal. This strong defensive record is emphasized by their four clean sheets in the last five matches. Atalanta's offensive and defensive metrics are relatively balanced, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game, showcasing their ability to both attack and defend effectively.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's recent form and solid defensive performances give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities will be crucial against a struggling Pisa side. A key factor to watch will be Atalanta's defensive resilience, which could be the defining element in securing their anticipated victory.