Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Cremonese Prediction

Sassuolo

Home Team
75%
VS

Cremonese

Away Team
12%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 17 27 49
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 15 39
6 Como 21 10 7 4 31 16 15 37
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 6 30
9 Lazio 21 7 7 7 21 19 2 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
11 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 28 -5 23
12 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 20 28 -8 23
13 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
14 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 34 -13 23
15 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 30 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 32 -9 17
18 Lecce 21 4 5 12 13 29 -16 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 31 -15 14
20 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sassuolo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 0

Cremonese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.99
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Sassuolo is strongly favored to win their upcoming match against Cremonese, with a 75.0% probability of securing a victory. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with recent performances from both sides. Currently, Sassuolo and Cremonese are tied in the standings with 23 points each, occupying the 11th and 12th positions in Serie A, respectively.

Match Analysis

Sassuolo enters this match on the back of a challenging streak, having lost their last three games without scoring a single goal. Their recent encounters against top-tier teams like Napoli, Roma, and Juventus have exposed weaknesses in both their offensive and defensive setups. Despite these setbacks, Sassuolo's average expected goals per game over the last five matches stands at 1.128, indicating potential for improvement if they can convert chances more effectively. Cremonese, on the other hand, has had a slightly better run, managing two draws and a heavy defeat in their recent fixtures. Their defense held firm against Verona for a goalless draw, but they suffered a significant 0-5 loss away to Juventus. Offensively, Cremonese has struggled, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five outings. However, their expected goals rate of 1.122 suggests they may create opportunities but fail to capitalize adequately.

Final Prediction

Sassuolo's edge in this matchup stems from their superior probability of securing a win and playing on home turf, which could boost their confidence after a difficult run of fixtures. A key factor to watch will be whether Sassuolo can break their goal-scoring drought, as this could be decisive in overcoming a defensively vulnerable Cremonese side.