Serie A 2025-2026: Torino vs Roma Prediction

Torino

Home Team
15%
VS

Roma

Away Team
72%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 20 15 1 4 43 17 26 46
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 17 43
3 Napoli 20 12 4 4 30 17 13 40
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 12 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Bologna 20 8 6 6 29 22 7 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 20 5 7 8 14 22 -8 22
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.90
# Clean Sheets: 2

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Torino and Roma, the odds heavily favor Roma with a 72.0% probability of victory. On the other hand, Torino stands at a mere 15.0% chance of clinching the win at home. Positioned 5th in the league with 39 points, Roma is in a strong position compared to Torino, who sits 12th with 23 points. The game is predicted to be a low-scoring affair, with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 49.0%.

Match Analysis

Torino's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a single victory and two losses in their last three matches. They managed an impressive 3-0 win against Verona but struggled in their home loss to Udinese and away defeat to Atalanta. Torino's advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded over their last five games. However, they have shown some defensive resilience with two clean sheets during this period. Roma, meanwhile, comes into this game with a more consistent form. They secured back-to-back wins, defeating Sassuolo and Lecce 2-0, before a narrow 1-0 loss to Atalanta. Roma's average goals scored and conceded are both at 1.2 and 1.0 respectively over the last five games, indicating a balanced performance. Their expected goals statistics suggest a slight underperformance in scoring but a solid defensive setup with two clean sheets in recent games.

Final Prediction

Roma's stronger league position and recent form give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and score crucial goals in recent matches highlights their defensive solidity and attacking potential. A key factor to watch is Roma's defensive organization, which could prove decisive against Torino's attack. Keep an eye on how well Torino can exploit any defensive lapses from Roma, which could shape the outcome of the match.