Serie A 2025-2026: Udinese vs Roma Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
25%
VS

Roma

Away Team
54%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 22 17 1 4 50 19 31 52
2 Milan 22 13 8 1 35 17 18 47
3 Roma 22 14 1 7 27 13 14 43
4 Napoli 22 13 4 5 31 20 11 43
5 Juventus 22 12 6 4 35 17 18 42
6 Como 22 11 7 4 37 16 21 40
7 Atalanta 22 9 8 5 30 20 10 35
8 Bologna 22 8 6 8 32 27 5 30
9 Lazio 22 7 8 7 21 19 2 29
10 Udinese 22 8 5 9 25 34 -9 29
11 Sassuolo 22 7 5 10 24 28 -4 26
12 Cagliari 22 6 7 9 24 31 -7 25
13 Genoa 22 5 8 9 25 31 -6 23
14 Cremonese 22 5 8 9 20 29 -9 23
15 Parma 22 5 8 9 14 26 -12 23
16 Torino 22 6 5 11 21 40 -19 23
17 Lecce 22 4 6 12 13 29 -16 18
18 Fiorentina 22 3 8 11 24 34 -10 17
19 Pisa 22 1 11 10 18 37 -19 14
20 Verona 22 2 8 12 18 37 -19 14

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 0

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Roma is predicted to come out as the winner in their upcoming clash against Udinese, with a winning probability of 54.0%. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals scored, with a probability of 45.0% for such an outcome. Currently, Roma occupies the 3rd position in Serie A, while Udinese sits at 10th place.

Match Analysis

Both teams have shown contrasting forms in their recent outings. Udinese managed to secure a victory against Verona away from home, but have struggled otherwise, with a loss to Inter and a draw against Pisa at home. Their inability to keep a clean sheet in the last five matches and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite this, they maintain a fair attacking presence with an average of 1.29 expected goals scored in their recent matches. Roma, on the other hand, is in a better run of form, securing a draw against Milan and back-to-back wins against Torino and Sassuolo, both of which they kept a clean sheet. Their defensive solidity, with an average of only 0.8 goals conceded per game, is a key strength. Furthermore, with an average of 1.332 expected goals scored per game, Roma shows a balanced approach that can exploit Udinese's defensive frailties.

Final Prediction

Roma's superior league position and recent form give them an edge over Udinese in this match-up. Their defensive resilience and ability to create scoring opportunities could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be Roma's defense as they aim to maintain their clean sheet record against a Udinese side eager to capitalize on home advantage.