NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
41.2%
116.7 pts
VS

Charlotte Hornets

Away Team
58.8%
116.7 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Charlotte Hornets are expected to edge out the New Orleans Pelicans with a 58.8% probability, both teams predicted to score 116.7 points each. The anticipated starting five for New Orleans includes Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Yves Missi. For Charlotte, the starting lineup is expected to feature LaMelo Ball, Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges, and Ryan Kalkbrenner.

Game Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans are coming into this game on the back of a three-game losing streak, struggling particularly on defense. Recent losses against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Los Angeles Clippers, and Denver Nuggets have highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities, with their opponents consistently scoring over 120 points. Zion Williamson has been a notable performer, averaging 22.8 points, but the team’s defensive ratings are concerning. For instance, Jeremiah Fears and Herbert Jones both possess defensive ratings over 127, which could be a significant factor against Charlotte's offensive threats. In contrast, the Charlotte Hornets have shown mixed results in their last three games, with a recent victory against the Utah Jazz. Despite losses to the Minnesota Timberwolves and Orlando Magic, the Hornets have been competitive in their scoring. LaMelo Ball leads the team with an average of 23.3 points per game and a solid offensive rating of 116.5. The presence of Miles Bridges and Collin Sexton adds depth to Charlotte's scoring ability, bolstering their chances against a defensively frail Pelicans side.

Final Prediction

The Hornets hold the edge due to their more balanced offensive and defensive capabilities, coupled with recent momentum from their win against the Jazz. A key factor to watch will be how Charlotte’s defensive strategy handles Zion Williamson’s scoring prowess, which could be decisive in swinging the game in their favor.