NBA 2025-2026: Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Golden State Warriors

Home Team
53.2%
115.7 pts
VS

Phoenix Suns

Away Team
46.8%
113.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Golden State Warriors are predicted to edge out the Phoenix Suns with a 53.2% probability, winning by a predicted score of 115.7 to 113.2. Expected Warriors starters include Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, and Quinten Post. Meanwhile, the Suns are set to start Collin Gillespie, Devin Booker, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, and Mark Williams.

Game Analysis

The Golden State Warriors are currently in the midst of a rough patch, having lost their last three games. Their most recent encounter against the Suns ended in a narrow 98-99 loss, indicating the potential for a closely contested rematch. Despite scoring well over 100 points in two of these games, their defense has allowed too many points, a trend they need to reverse. Stephen Curry continues to be a critical offensive asset with an average of 28.8 points per game, but the team must tighten their defensive efforts. On the other hand, the Phoenix Suns managed a victory against the Warriors in their last meeting. Although they also suffered two losses against the Lakers and Thunder, their performance against Golden State showcased their ability to win close games. Devin Booker, with an average of 25.1 points per game, remains a significant threat on the offensive end. The Suns boast a strong offensive rating across their starting lineup, but their defensive ratings are comparatively weaker, suggesting potential vulnerability against a high-scoring team like the Warriors.

Final Prediction

The Warriors are favored due to their potential to outscore the Suns, bolstered by Stephen Curry's offensive prowess. However, for Golden State to capitalize on this edge, they must improve their defensive performance. A key factor to watch will be the battle between Curry and Booker, as their contributions could heavily sway the game's outcome.