NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
50.3%
116.1 pts
VS

Indiana Pacers

Away Team
49.7%
114.0 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The New Orleans Pelicans are predicted to edge out the Indiana Pacers with a probability of 50.3% in what promises to be a closely contested match. The expected scoreline is 116.1 for the Pelicans to 114.0 for the Pacers. Both teams are set to field competitive starting lineups. The Pelicans will feature Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, and Derik Queen. The Pacers will counter with Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, and Jay Huff.

Game Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans come into this game riding a wave of success, having won their last three encounters. Impressively, they secured a high-scoring victory over the Houston Rockets with a score of 133-128 and convincingly beat the Portland Trail Blazers 143-120. This offensive prowess is driven by Trey Murphy III, who averages a team-high 21.35 points per game with an outstanding offensive rating of 123.6. The Pelicans' starting lineup boasts a potent mix of scoring ability and offensive efficiency. Conversely, the Indiana Pacers have faced tough outings recently, dropping their last three games, including a narrow 113-114 loss to the New York Knicks. Pascal Siakam stands out as a key contributor with an average of 23.85 points per game and a solid offensive rating of 113.3. However, the Pacers' starting five displays defensive vulnerabilities, particularly Andrew Nembhard's defensive rating of 124.0. While the Pacers are capable of putting points on the board, their recent performances suggest challenges in closing out games effectively.

Final Prediction

The Pelicans have a slight edge due to their recent form and scoring depth. Their ability to consistently post high scores has been a significant factor in their winning streak. A key factor to watch during the game will be the Pelicans' offensive execution, particularly how effectively Trey Murphy III and his teammates can exploit the Pacers' defensive lapses. The matchup promises to be a thrilling contest between two teams with contrasting recent fortunes.