NBA 2025-2026: Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Houston Rockets
Home Team
56.4%
113.3 pts
VS
San Antonio Spurs
Away Team
43.6%
112.7 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Houston Rockets are favored to win against the San Antonio Spurs with a 56.4% probability. The predicted points are close, with Houston expected to score 113.3 compared to San Antonio's 112.7. The Rockets' expected starting five includes Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, and Alperen Şengün. The Spurs are likely to start De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama.
Game Analysis
Both teams are entering this matchup with positive momentum from recent performances. The Houston Rockets have won two of their last three games, securing victories against the New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves, but falling short against the Oklahoma City Thunder. In these games, Kevin Durant has been a standout performer, showcasing his scoring prowess with an average of 26.08 points per game. Their defensive consistency is bolstered by players like Tari Eason and Alperen Şengün, whose defensive ratings are among the best on the team.
The San Antonio Spurs are riding a three-game winning streak, with impressive victories over the Utah Jazz, Minnesota Timberwolves, and Milwaukee Bucks. Victor Wembanyama has been a dominant force, averaging 24.76 points per game with a stellar defensive rating of 101.7, making him a critical player on both ends of the floor. The Spurs’ offensive and defensive efforts are well-rounded, with De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle contributing effectively.
Final Prediction
The Rockets have a slight edge due to their balanced scoring and the all-around impact of Kevin Durant, which could prove decisive in a tightly contested game. A key factor to watch will be the matchup between the towering presence of Wembanyama and the versatile athleticism of the Rockets' frontline, which may tip the scales in this exciting NBA showdown.