NBA 2025-2026: Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Milwaukee Bucks
Home Team
32.8%
107.6 pts
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder
Away Team
67.2%
116.8 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to win against the Milwaukee Bucks with a probability of 67.2%. The expected scoreline is 116.8 for the Thunder and 107.6 for the Bucks. The Bucks' starting lineup is anticipated to include Ryan Rollins, A.J. Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, and Myles Turner. The Thunder's expected starters are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, and Chet Holmgren.
Game Analysis
In recent performances, the Milwaukee Bucks have shown inconsistency, with one win against the Atlanta Hawks and two losses to the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves. These games reveal defensive challenges, as seen in the 139 points allowed against the Timberwolves. Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to be a powerhouse with an offensive rating of 132.5 and an average of 28.5 points per game, but the Bucks need stronger defensive cohesion to support his efforts.
Conversely, the Oklahoma City Thunder appear to be in better form, securing wins against the Cleveland Cavaliers and Houston Rockets, though narrowly losing to the Miami Heat. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands out with an exceptional offensive rating of 136.5 and an average of 31.76 points, driving the team's success. The Thunder's defense, bolstered by Chet Holmgren's defensive rating of 103.3, could prove pivotal in stifling the Bucks' offensive threats.
Final Prediction
The Oklahoma City Thunder have an edge due to their recent strong performances and effective scoring and defensive strategies. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive prowess and Chet Holmgren's defensive skills are key factors that give the Thunder a competitive advantage. Watch for Giannis Antetokounmpo's efforts to breach the Thunder's defense, which will be crucial for the Bucks to stand a chance.