NBA 2025-2026: Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Dallas Mavericks
Home Team
46.8%
115.6 pts
VS
Golden State Warriors
Away Team
53.2%
118.6 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Golden State Warriors are predicted to edge out the Dallas Mavericks with a 53.2% probability, winning by a narrow margin with a predicted score of 118.6 to 115.6. The expected starting five for the Mavericks includes Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, and Dwight Powell. Meanwhile, the Warriors are set to start Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green, and Quinten Post.
Game Analysis
The Dallas Mavericks are coming off an impressive three-game winning streak, showcasing dominant performances against the New York Knicks and twice against the Utah Jazz. Their recent victories have been characterized by high-scoring outputs, with scores of 114, 138, and 144 points, respectively. This suggests a potent offense led by Cooper Flagg, who averages nearly 19 points per game. Defensively, the team has been relatively consistent, holding opponents to fewer than 123 points in each of these contests.
On the other hand, the Golden State Warriors have had mixed results in their last three outings. After a tough loss to the Toronto Raptors, where they conceded 145 points, they bounced back with strong wins against the Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets, scoring 135 and 136 points, respectively. Stephen Curry remains the centerpiece of their offense with an average of over 27 points per game, supported by the versatile play of Draymond Green, despite his lower scoring average.
The Mavericks and Warriors both exhibit strong offensive ratings, with the Warriors slightly ahead due to Curry's influence. Defensively, both teams have room for improvement, potentially making this matchup a high-scoring affair.
Final Prediction
The Warriors' predicted edge can largely be attributed to Stephen Curry's standout offensive performance, which could be the decisive factor in a closely contested game. A key factor to watch will be how the Mavericks' defense handles Curry's scoring prowess, as their ability to limit his impact could shift the balance in this anticipated matchup.