NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
Home Team
91.6%
119.7 pts
VS
Indiana Pacers
Away Team
8.4%
104.5 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to win with a commanding probability of 91.6%, with expected points of 119.7 against the Indiana Pacers' 104.5. The Thunder's expected starting five includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, and Chet Holmgren. For the Pacers, the expected starters are Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, and Jay Huff.
Game Analysis
The Oklahoma City Thunder have recently displayed strong performances, winning two out of their last three games against formidable opponents. Notably, they defeated the Milwaukee Bucks and Cleveland Cavaliers with impressive scores of 122-102 and 136-104, respectively. This winning streak was briefly interrupted by a narrow loss to the Miami Heat, 120-122. The Thunder's starting lineup showcases a balanced mix of offensive prowess and defensive tenacity, particularly highlighted by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's stellar offensive rating of 137.4 and average points made of 31.95.
In contrast, the Indiana Pacers are struggling with a three-game losing streak, suffering defeats against the Boston Celtics, Philadelphia 76ers, and Detroit Pistons, with their most significant loss being against the Pistons at 78-121. The Pacers' starting lineup features a mix of players with varied offensive ratings, with Pascal Siakam leading the charge at 23.83 average points. However, their defensive ratings suggest vulnerabilities, particularly highlighted by Andrew Nembhard's defensive rating of 122.2.
Final Prediction
The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored to win due to their recent strong form and balanced team performance, both offensively and defensively. A key factor to watch during the game will be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's ability to dominate the court and potentially exploit the Pacers' defensive weaknesses.